Náutico Capibaribe vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
56
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
79% (357/454)72% (266/369)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
11
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
41
Corner Kicks
76
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
79% (357/454)72% (266/369)
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
1718
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Luciano , Oscar (A),
  • 11', Marco Antonio 🟥,
  • 21', Wellerson R. 🟨,
  • 22', Ferraresi N. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Arnaldo , Marcos Ytalo ,
  • 46', Patrick Allan , de Sousa Oliveira T. ,
  • 53', Diaz E. 🟨,
  • 64', Lucas Ferreira , Rodriguinho ,
  • 64', Alisson , Pablo Maia ,
  • 70', Kelvin , Caio Vitor ,
  • 75', Andre Silva , Ryan Francisco ,
  • 76', 0 - 2, Rodriguinho ,
  • 76', Rodriguinho 🟨,
  • 79', Auremir , Igor Pereira ,
  • 81', Marco Antonio , Helio Borges ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Helio Borges ,
  • 89', Soares C. , Bobadilla D. ,
  • 89', Luciano , Ruan Tressoldi ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
19.6%
Draw
26.5%
São Paulo
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.7% 22.6% 61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2% 21.9% 63.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Náutico Capibaribe - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.71
    (5.93)
    3.51
    (4.13)
    1.74
    (1.51)
    7.3%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - São Paulo?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Náutico (votes: 1 - 33.3%). São Paulo (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - São Paulo were as follows:
    29.04.2025 São Paulo - Náutico Capibaribe 2:1
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of São Paulo
    17.05.2025 São Paulo - Grêmio 2:1
    11.05.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 1:0
    06.05.2025 Alianza Lima - São Paulo 0:2
    02.05.2025 São Paulo - Fortaleza 0:0
    Draw
    2026

    1/256-finals
    1BarraBye
    3America MGBye
    4America SETirol1 : 2
    5IvinhemaIndependente AP1 : 0
    6ByeVolta Redonda
    7America RNBye
    8ByeGAS
    9Sampaio Correa FEDesportiva Ferroviaria1 : 2
    10ByeSport Recife
    11AnapolisBye
    12ByeCianorte
    13Rio Branco ESBye
    14ByeAthletic Club
    15Ypiranga FCBye
    16Ji-ParanaPantanal2 : 0
    17ManauaraBye
    18ByeItabaiana
    19FortalezaBye
    20MaguaryLaguna RN1 : 0
    21CastanhalBye
    22ByeGuarani
    23Nova IguacuBye
    24ByeLagarto
    25Santa CatarinaIAPE2 : 0
    26ByeCuiaba
    27CeilandiaBye
    28ByeJacuipense
    29MixtoBye
    30ByeBotafogo PB
    31NovorizontinoBye
    32ByeNacional-AM
    33Sao LuizBye
    34ByeMaranhao
    35CearaBye
    36AraguainaPrimavera0 : 3
    37JoinvilleBye
    38ByeCSA
    39Sao BernardoBye
    40ByeAlagoinhas
    41Vasco da Gama ACVelo Clube1 : 2
    42ByeVila Nova FC
    43ASABye
    44ByeOperario MS
    45ConfiancaBye
    47TombenseBye
    48ByeOratorio
    49Ponte PretaBye
    51SER CaxiasBye
    52ByeGuarany de Bage
    53Operario VGBye
    54ByePorto Velho
    55Atletico GOBye
    56Primavera ACBragantino2 : 1
    57BoavistaBye
    58ByeMaringa FC
    59RetroBye
    60ByeUberlandia
    61GamaMonte Roraima2 : 0
    62ByeGoias
    63TremBye
    64ByeFluminense-PI
    65BareMadureira0 : 3
    66ByeABC
    67Aguia De MarabaBye
    68ByeIndependencia
    69Tuna LusoBye
    70ByeTocantinopolis
    71JuventudeBye
    72GalvezGuapore1 : 2
    73Capital FCBye
    74ByeManaus
    75LondrinaBye
    76ByeSC Penedense
    77BetimPiaui1 : 0
    78ByeOperario-PR
    79JuazeirenseBye
    80ByeCapital
    81ImperatrizBye
    82ByeAmazonas
    83FigueirenseBye
    84ByeAzuriz
    85Santa CruzBye
    86ByeSousa
    87CRBBye
    88Porto-BASerra Branca2 : 1
    89PortuguesaBye
    90ByeAE Altos
    91AvaiBye
    92ByePorto Vitoria
    93Paysandu PABye
    95Portuguesa RJBye
    96ByeMaracana

    1/128-finals
    1BarraBye
    2America MGTirol
    3IvinhemaVolta Redonda
    4America RNGAS3 : 0
    5Desportiva FerroviariaSport Recife
    6AnapolisCianorte3 : 1
    7Rio Branco ESAthletic Club
    8Ypiranga FCJi-Parana2 : 0
    9ManauaraItabaiana
    10FortalezaMaguary4 : 3
    11CastanhalGuarani2 : 1
    12Nova IguacuLagarto
    13Santa CatarinaCuiaba
    14CeilandiaJacuipense1 : 2
    15MixtoBotafogo PB2 : 1
    16NovorizontinoNacional-AM4 : 0
    17Sao LuizMaranhao0 : 1
    18CearaPrimavera
    19JoinvilleCSA1 : 0
    20Sao BernardoAlagoinhas2 : 0
    21Velo ClubeVila Nova FC
    22ASAOperario MS1 : 2
    23ConfiancaBye
    24TombenseOratorio2 : 1
    25Ponte PretaBye
    26SER CaxiasGuarany de Bage0 : 1
    27Operario VGPorto Velho
    28Atletico GOPrimavera AC1 : 0
    29BoavistaMaringa FC2 : 3
    30RetroUberlandia1 : 2
    31GamaGoias2 : 3
    32TremFluminense-PI
    33MadureiraABC1 : 0
    34Aguia De MarabaIndependencia2 : 0
    35Tuna LusoTocantinopolis
    36JuventudeGuapore
    37Capital FCManaus
    38LondrinaSC Penedense1 : 0
    39BetimOperario-PR
    40JuazeirenseCapital1 : 2
    41ImperatrizAmazonas0 : 3
    42FigueirenseAzuriz
    43Santa CruzSousa
    44CRBPorto-BA
    45PortuguesaAE Altos
    46AvaiPorto Vitoria
    47Paysandu PABye
    48Portuguesa RJMaracana

    1/64-finals
    1BarraTBD #2
    2TBD #3America RN
    3TBD #5Anapolis
    4TBD #7Ypiranga FC
    5TBD #9Fortaleza
    6CastanhalTBD #12
    7TBD #13Jacuipense
    8MixtoNovorizontino
    9MaranhaoTBD #18
    10JoinvilleSao Bernardo
    11TBD #21Operario MS
    12ConfiancaTombense
    13Ponte PretaGuarany de Bage
    14TBD #27Atletico GO
    15Maringa FCUberlandia
    16GoiasTBD #32
    17MadureiraAguia De Maraba
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37Londrina
    20TBD #39Capital
    21AmazonasTBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24Paysandu PATBD #48