São Paulo vs Palmeiras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
04/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa do Brasil Women - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilSporTV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Ingryd Lima ,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Brena Carolina ,
  • 45+2', Brena Carolina 🟨,
  • 45+3', Isa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Espinales J. , Andressinha ,
  • 46', Millene , Serrana ,
  • 46', Karla Alves , Anny ,
  • 66', Brena Carolina , Diany Martins ,
  • 66', Raissa Bahia , Soll ,
  • 69', Maressa 🟨,
  • 69', Maressa , Darlene ,
  • 71', Rhayanna 🟨,
  • 73', Maressa 🟨,
  • 76', Isa 🟨,
  • 79', 0 - 3, Andressinha ,
  • 81', 0 - 4, Pati Maldaner ,
  • 83', Rhayanna , Isadora Amaral ,
  • 83', Ingryd Lima , Emily Assis ,
  • 83', Aline , Je Soares ,
  • 83', Camilinha , Vitorinha ,

Chances of winning


São Paulo
26.2%
Draw
26.2%
Palmeiras
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 26% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26% 24.8% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • São Paulo - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (3.33)
    3.44
    (3.5)
    1.89
    (1.95)
    11.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 1.
    • São Paulo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Palmeiras is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Palmeiras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Palmeiras will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Palmeiras were as follows:
    28.09.2025 São Paulo - Palmeiras 0:3
    04.06.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 3:2
    03.05.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 1:2
    17.06.2024 São Paulo - Palmeiras 1:5
    26.05.2024 São Paulo - Palmeiras 1:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1Vasco WBye
    2Minas Brasilia WBye
    4ByeSao Paulo W
    5Flamengo WBye
    7Remo WBye
    8Mixto PB WOperario MS W0 : 1
    9Cruzeiro WBye
    12ByeCorinthians W
    13Juventude WBye
    15Taruma WJuventude W1 : 2
    16ByeFortaleza W
    17Taubate WBye
    18ByeAvai Kindermann W
    20ByePalmeiras W
    21America Mineiro WBye
    23Santos WBye
    24Criciuma WPerolas Negras W1 : 2
    27Manaus WGuarani de Paripueira W4 : 3
    28Ipojuca WAlagoinhas W1 : 0
    29Doce Mel WIAPE W4 : 1
    30Pinda Ferroviaria WSao Raimundo RR W3 : 1
    31Realidade Jovem WRecanto W5 : 0
    32ByeRio Negro W
    33Internacional WBye
    37Fluminense WBye
    39Toledo WBrasil de Farroupilha W1 : 3
    40ByeItacoatiara W
    41UD Alagoana WCoritiba W0 : 1
    42Ceara WRolim de Moura W1 : 2
    45Vu00e1rzea Grande WProsperidade W0 : 1
    46ByeMixto W
    47Itabirito WUniao RN W5 : 1
    48ByeVitoria W
    49Bragantino WBye
    51Botafogo RJ WBye
    52Tuna Luso WCresspom W2 : 1
    53Vila Nova FC WAtletico-PI W1 : 2
    54ByeAcao W
    55Sao Jose WBye
    56Ypiranga AP WGalvez W2 : 0
    57Bahia WBye
    60ByeGremio W
    61Real Brasilia WBye
    63Atletico-MG WBye
    64ByePaysandu PA W

    1/32-finals
    1Vasco WMinas Brasilia W2 : 1
    2ByeSao Paulo W
    3Flamengo WBye
    4Remo WOperario MS W1 : 2
    5Cruzeiro WBye
    6ByeCorinthians W
    7Juventude WBye
    8Juventude WFortaleza W2 : 4
    9Taubate WAvai Kindermann W0 : 2
    10ByePalmeiras W
    11America Mineiro WBye
    12Santos WPerolas Negras W3 : 0
    14Manaus WIpojuca W3 : 2
    15Doce Mel WPinda Ferroviaria W2 : 3
    16Realidade Jovem WRio Negro W1 : 0
    17Internacional WBye
    19Fluminense WBye
    20Brasil de Farroupilha WItacoatiara W2 : 1
    21Coritiba WRolim de Moura W2 : 1
    23Prosperidade WMixto W1 : 2
    24Itabirito WVitoria W0 : 1
    25Bragantino WBye
    26Botafogo RJ WTuna Luso W2 : 1
    27Atletico-PI WAcao W2 : 0
    28Sao Jose WYpiranga AP W3 : 2
    29Bahia WBye
    30ByeGremio W
    31Real Brasilia WBye
    32Atletico-MG WPaysandu PA W4 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Vasco WSao Paulo W1 : 3
    2Flamengo WOperario MS W6 : 0
    3Cruzeiro WCorinthians W1 : 2
    4Juventude WFortaleza W3 : 2
    5Avai Kindermann WPalmeiras W0 : 4
    6America Mineiro WSantos W1 : 0
    7Sport Recife WManaus W10 : 0
    8Pinda Ferroviaria WRealidade Jovem W1 : 2
    9Internacional W3B da Amazonia W3 : 1
    10Fluminense WBrasil de Farroupilha W3 : 0
    11Coritiba WFerroviaria W1 : 5
    12Mixto WVitoria W1 : 3
    13Bragantino WBotafogo RJ W2 : 1
    14Atletico-PI WSao Jose W3 : 0
    15Bahia WGremio W1 : 0
    16Real Brasilia WAtletico-MG W0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sao Paulo WFlamengo W1 : 0
    2Corinthians WJuventude W3 : 0
    3Palmeiras WAmerica Mineiro W3 : 0
    4Sport Recife WRealidade Jovem W3 : 1
    5Internacional WFluminense W2 : 0
    6Ferroviaria WVitoria W3 : 0
    7Bragantino WAtletico-PI W1 : 0
    8Bahia WAtletico-MG W1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao Paulo WCorinthians W3 : 1
    2Palmeiras WSport Recife W5 : 0
    3Internacional WFerroviaria W0 : 2
    4Bragantino WBahia W1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sao Paulo WPalmeiras W0 : 4
    2Ferroviaria WBahia W2 : 0

    Final
    1Palmeiras WFerroviaria W4 : 2