São Paulo vs Palmeiras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Paulista Women São Paulo - Palmeiras
Result
0:3
28/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista Women - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Brena Carolina ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 60', 0 - 2, Brena Carolina ,
  • 83', 0 - 3, Amanda Gutierres ,

Chances of winning


São Paulo
36.6%
Draw
27.3%
Palmeiras
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 26.5% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 27.4% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.
  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • São Paulo - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.2)
    3.38
    (3.5)
    2.41
    (2.97)
    8.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for São Paulo - Palmeiras?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 2.
    • São Paulo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Palmeiras is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • São Paulo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Palmeiras were as follows:
    04.06.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 3:2
    03.05.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 1:2
    17.06.2024 São Paulo - Palmeiras 1:5
    26.05.2024 São Paulo - Palmeiras 1:1
    25.06.2023 Palmeiras - São Paulo 1:3
    Latest results of São Paulo
    24.09.2025 São Paulo - Corinthians 3:1
    17.09.2025 São Paulo - Flamengo 1:0
    03.09.2025 Santos - São Paulo 2:2
    31.08.2025 Corinthians - São Paulo 2:2
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    25.09.2025 Palmeiras - Sport Recife 5:0
    22.09.2025 Ferroviária - Palmeiras 1:3
    31.08.2025 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 1:2
    Brazilian Paulista Women Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians W1090126:52127
    2Palmeiras W1071222:81422
    3Ferroviaria W1052318:9917
    4Bragantino W1043315:14115
    5Sao Paulo W1042413:13014
    6Santos W102358:14-69
    7Taubate W103076:21-156
    8Realidade Jovem W100191:25-241

          Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Paulista Women