São Paulo vs Pato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Brazilian NBB São Paulo - Pato
Result
65:69
28/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBB
  • Referee: Goncalves Lopes C. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6071
Field Goals Made
2526
Field Goals %
41.7%36.6%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3538
2-Point Field Goals Made
1918
2-Point Field Goals %
54.3%47.4%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2533
3-Point Field Goals Made
68
3-Point Field Goals %
24%24.2%
Free Throws Attempted
1711
Free Throws Made
99
Free Throws %
52.9%81.8%
Offensive Rebounds
814
Defensive Rebounds
3129
Total Rebounds
3943
Assists
1318
Blocks
12
Turnovers
1412
Steals
75
Personal Fouls
1519

Chances of winning


São Paulo
38.4%
Pato
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Pato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pato than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • São Paulo - Pato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.13)

    1.53
    (1.58)
    7.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 162.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - Pato?
  • Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 79:84.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 5.
    • São Paulo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Pato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Pato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Pato have a series of guest games.
    • Pato will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 965:825 (average 87.7:75).
    • Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 445:382 (average 89:76.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Pato were as follows:
    17.10.2024 Pato - São Paulo 81:88
    07.02.2024 Pato - São Paulo 74:80
    20.11.2023 São Paulo - Pato 89:67
    14.01.2023 Pato - São Paulo 69:84
    27.10.2022 São Paulo - Pato 99:90
    Latest results of São Paulo
    13.03.2025 Caxias do Sul - São Paulo 76:65
    08.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - São Paulo 88:78
    13.02.2025 São Paulo - Unifacisa 68:66
    Latest results of Pato
    26.03.2025 Paulistano - Pato 77:94
    14.03.2025 Pato - Brasília Basquete 98:80
    28.02.2025 Flamengo - Pato 91:81
    16.02.2025 Botafogo - Pato 91:76
    14.02.2025 Vasco da Gama - Pato 98:86
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Minas (1)Mogi (16)3 : 0
    2Vasco (8)Sao Jose (9)3 : 1
    3Bauru (5)Paulistano (12)3 : 2
    4Brasilia (4)Sao Paulo (13)1 : 3
    5Flamengo (2)Caxias do Sul (15)3 : 1
    6Uniao Corinthians (7)Corinthians Paulista (10)1 : 3
    7Franca (3)Pato (14)3 : 0
    8Pinheiros (6)Unifacisa (11)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Minas (1)Vasco (8)3 : 0
    2Bauru (5)Sao Paulo (13)3 : 0
    3Flamengo (2)Corinthians Paulista (10)3 : 1
    4Franca (3)Pinheiros (6)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Minas (1)Bauru (5)3 : 0
    2Flamengo (2)Franca (3)2 : 3

    Final
    1Minas (1)Franca (3)1 : 3