Result
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Leicester Tigers
51.1% | Draw
4.7% | Saracens
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Leicester Tigers - Saracens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.88) |
19.69 ↑
(17.87) |
2.09 ↑
(2.05) |
8.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Saracens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Leicester Tigers will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 425:467. (average 21.3:23.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leicester Tigers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 162:168. (average 18:18.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Leicester Tigers won against Saracens?
Leicester Tigers has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saracens won against Leicester Tigers?
Saracens has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leicester Tigers - Saracens were as follows:
13.09.2025
Leicester Tigers
-
Saracens
20:7
30.03.2025
Leicester Tigers
-
Saracens
22:29
26.10.2024
Saracens
-
Leicester Tigers
29:32
06.01.2024
Leicester Tigers
-
Saracens
19:10
04.11.2023
Saracens
-
Leicester Tigers
32:17
Latest results of Leicester Tigers
Latest results of Saracens
English Premiership Rugby Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Northampton Saints | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 281:232 | 33 |
| 2 | Exeter Chiefs | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 243:138 | 32 |
| 3 | Bath | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 280:185 | 31 |
| 4 | Bristol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 263:215 | 29 |
| 5 | Leicester Tigers | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 231:203 | 26 |
| 6 | Saracens | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 282:198 | 26 |
| 7 | Sale Sharks | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 239:235 | 18 |
| 8 | Harlequins | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 168:251 | 10 |
| 9 | Gloucester | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 169:280 | 8 |
| 10 | Newcastle Red Bulls | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 128:347 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup
