Result
36:28
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership Rugby - Round 9
- Referee: Carley M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Malta | TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 Peru | Disney+, Movistar Deportes |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Spain | M+ Deportes |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+, FloRugby.com, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 71 | 80 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 518 | 364 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (26 - 7)
- 2', Burke F. (Missed Penalty),
- 4', Steward F. (Try),
- 5', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Cracknell O. (Try),
- 12', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', McFarland T. (Try),
- 22', Burke F. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', Radwan A. (Try),
- 27', Daly E. 🟨,
- 27', Bailey O. (Missed Conversion),
- 30', George J. ↓, Dan T. ↑,
- 30', Isiekwe N. ↓, Itoje M. ↑,
- 39', Heyes J. (Try),
- 40', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 21)
- 40', Cracknell O. ↓, Ilione E. ↑,
- 51', Carre R. (Try),
- 52', Burke F. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Carre R. ↓, Mawi E. ↑,
- 52', Riccioni M. ↓, Street M. ↑,
- 52', Tizard H. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 54', Searle B. (Penalty Goal),
- 59', Radwan A. (Try),
- 60', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Earl B. ↓, Christie A. ↑,
- 60', Wand W. ↓, Hamer-Webb G. ↑,
- 62', Smith N. ↓, Haffar T. ↑,
- 62', Blamire J. ↓, Clare C. ↑,
- 63', Gonzalez J. (Try),
- 63', Burke F. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', van Zyl I. ↓, Bracken C. ↑,
- 66', Heyes J. ↓, Hurd W. ↑,
- 66', Thompson J. ↓, Moro J. ↑,
- 68', Cinti L. ↓, Lozowski A. ↑,
- 68', Steward F. ↓, Pearson G. ↑,
- 75', van Poortvliet J. ↓, Allan O. ↑,
- 78', Searle B. 🟨,
- 78', Bracken C. (Try),
- 79', Burke F. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Leicester Tigers
43.2% | Draw
4.2% | Saracens
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Leicester Tigers - Saracens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.88) |
22.01 ↑
(17.87) |
1.76 ↓
(2.05) |
8.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
What is the prediction for Leicester Tigers - Saracens?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leicester Tigers (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Leicester Tigers will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 26:29.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Leicester Tigers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 425:467. (average 21.3:23.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leicester Tigers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 162:168. (average 18:18.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Leicester Tigers won against Saracens?
Leicester Tigers has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saracens won against Leicester Tigers?
Saracens has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leicester Tigers - Saracens were as follows:
13.09.2025
Leicester Tigers
-
Saracens
20:7
30.03.2025
Leicester Tigers
-
Saracens
22:29
26.10.2024
Saracens
-
Leicester Tigers
29:32
06.01.2024
Leicester Tigers
-
Saracens
19:10
04.11.2023
Saracens
-
Leicester Tigers
32:17
Latest results of Leicester Tigers
Latest results of Saracens
English Premiership Rugby Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Northampton Saints | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 347:253 | 38 |
| 2 | Bath | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 313:211 | 36 |
| 3 | Exeter Chiefs | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 269:171 | 34 |
| 4 | Bristol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 282:232 | 33 |
| 5 | Leicester Tigers | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 267:231 | 31 |
| 6 | Saracens | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 310:234 | 27 |
| 7 | Sale Sharks | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 256:254 | 19 |
| 8 | Harlequins | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 189:317 | 10 |
| 9 | Gloucester | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 188:305 | 9 |
| 10 | Newcastle Red Bulls | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 153:366 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup
