Sarangani Marlins vs Muntinlupa Cagers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Philippines MBPL  Sarangani Marlins - Muntinlupa Cagers
Result
72:68
11/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MPBL

Chances of winning


Sarangani Marlins
70.5%
Muntinlupa Cagers
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 51.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarangani Marlins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarangani Marlins's performance.
  • Muntinlupa Cagers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Muntinlupa Cagers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarangani Marlins than the current prediction. (-22.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarangani Marlins that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muntinlupa Cagers than the current prediction. (+22.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muntinlupa Cagers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sarangani Marlins - Muntinlupa Cagers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.95)

    3.24
    (1.74)
    4.8%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 159.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Sarangani have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Muntinlupa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Muntinlupa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Sarangani will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Philippines MBPL Table
    2025

    North Division
    PlWLPts
    1Abra Weavers282712529:193055
    2Nueva Ecija Vanguards282622559:197154
    3San Juan Knights282532321:196753
    4Pasay Voyagers292182398:215250
    5Pangasinan Heatwaves282082426:212548
    6Pampanga Giant Lanterns282082386:215148
    7Batang Kankaloo271982106:192646
    8Ilagan Isabela Cowboys2915142303:216044
    9Bataan Risers2913162420:228242
    10Pasig City2812162174:227840
    11Quezon City277201996:220334
    12Val City Magic297222191:252836
    13Marikina Verdiamonds284242085:246732
    14Manila Batang Quiapo283252229:303231
    15Bulacan Kuyas293262080:279432


    South Division
    PlWLPts
    1Quezon Huskers282442324:189152
    2Batangas City292092267:202849
    3Rizal Golden Coolers271892317:205045
    4GenSan Warriors2817112323:206645
    5Basilan Viva Portmasters2817112211:207745
    6Zamboanga Sikat2917122284:211646
    7Binan Tatak Gel2917122219:205346
    8Mindoro Tamaraws2815132271:221343
    9Davao Tigers2811172122:229039
    10Cebu Classic2911182170:231840
    11Muntinlupa Cagers2710171992:211237
    12Sarangani Marlins2810182260:247438
    13Imus Braderhood299202194:247138
    14Bacolod Tubo Slashers284242031:231132
    15Paranaque Patriots281271985:273729

          Promotion ~ MPBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ MPBL (Play~in: )