Sarıyer vs Bandırmaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/11/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 15
  • Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.89
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
82% (323/392)87% (319/365)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.230.16
Total shots
913
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
158
Passes
82% (323/392)87% (319/365)
Long passes
44% (20/45)45% (17/38)
Passes in final third
64% (61/96)77% (67/87)
Crosses
29% (4/14)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.97
Throw-ins
2312
Fouls
815
Tackles
90% (9/10)85% (11/13)
Duels won
3439
Clearances
1817
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.161.23
Goals prevented
0.160.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Douglas Tanque 🟨,
  • 42', Mulumba R. 🟨,
  • 42', Ndongala D. 🟨,
  • 42', Kurucuk F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 71', Ndongala D. , Samake W. ,
  • 72', Berber O. , Yilmaz O. ,
  • 72', Yesilyurt H. E. , Regattin A. ,
  • 83', 1 - 0, Regattin A. (Pen),
  • 87', Urie A. , Ozer F. ,
  • 87', Mulumba R. , Cinemre E. ,
  • 90', Traore H. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Acar E. , Topalli J. ,
  • 90+2', Albayrak M. , Turkmen C. ,
  • 90+2', Anziani J. , Korkmazoglu E. ,
  • 90+2', Engul B. , Sol O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarıyer
41.8%
Draw
27.9%
Bandırmaspor
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 26.9% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 27.7% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarıyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.05)
    3.35
    (3.46)
    3.04
    (3.35)
    8%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sarıyer will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bandırmaspor will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).
    • Recent performances by Sarıyer have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bandırmaspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sarıyer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sarıyer will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarıyer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Sarıyer
    07.11.2025 Sarıyer - Vanspor 2:1
    28.10.2025 52 Orduspor - Sarıyer 0:2
    25.10.2025 Sarıyer - Manisa FK 0:0
    Latest results of Bandırmaspor
    22.11.2025 Bandırmaspor - Çorum 1:0
    08.11.2025 Bandırmaspor - Boluspor 1:0
    03.11.2025 Igdirspor - Bandırmaspor 1:1
    26.10.2025 Bandırmaspor - Erokspor 0:0
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-57

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to