Sarıyer vs Bodrumspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/12/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 19
  • Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.21
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
78% (246/316)80% (333/415)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.570.84
Total shots
179
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
78% (246/316)80% (333/415)
Long passes
30% (14/47)50% (27/54)
Passes in final third
69% (50/72)63% (60/95)
Crosses
24% (4/17)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.78
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
1314
Tackles
75% (6/8)57% (4/7)
Duels won
3331
Clearances
2414
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.841.57
Goals prevented
-0.160.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Dembele P. M. , Urie A. ,
  • 18', Seferi T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 26', Seferi T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Urie A. , Camara M. (A),
  • 65', Habesoglu A. , Turk A. ,
  • 77', Turk A. 🟨,
  • 78', Brazao P. , Imeri O. ,
  • 80', Berber O. , Yilmaz O. ,
  • 80', Regattin A. , Engul B. ,
  • 89', Aslan A. , Erdilman M. ,
  • 90', Camara M. , Ozer F. ,
  • 90', Urie A. , Korkmazoglu E. ,
  • 90+3', Traore H. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Yesilyurt H. E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Akyuz F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarıyer
29.7%
Draw
27.8%
Bodrumspor
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 28.6% 47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 28% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarıyer's performance.
  • Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarıyer that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bodrumspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sarıyer - Bodrumspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (3.84)
    3.32
    (3.2)
    2.16
    (1.93)
    8.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sarıyer - Bodrumspor?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sarıyer will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bodrumspor: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sarıyer (votes: 1 - 20%). Bodrumspor (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Bodrumspor (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Bodrumspor (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Sarıyer (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Bodrumspor (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sarıyer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Bodrumspor has had a series of away games.
    • Bodrumspor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarıyer: Keskin A. (Suspended) Koksaldi E. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Bodrumspor: Aytemur A. (Suspended) Fredy (International duty) Obekpa G. (Inactive) Yavuzay B. (Suspended)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarıyer won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
    Latest results of Sarıyer
    19.12.2025 Erokspor - Sarıyer 1:1
    13.12.2025 Sarıyer - İstanbulspor 1:2
    08.12.2025 Hatayspor - Sarıyer 0:3
    03.12.2025 İstanbulspor - Sarıyer 6:0
    30.11.2025 Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor 1:0
    Latest results of Bodrumspor
    22.12.2025 Bodrumspor - Amed SK 0:0
    14.12.2025 Erzurumspor - Bodrumspor 2:2
    08.12.2025 Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor 2:0
    03.12.2025 Muğlaspor - Bodrumspor 1:2
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor28179260:194160
    2Erokspor28178367:224559
    3Amedspor28167558:322655
    4Corum28155844:311350
    5Bodrumspor28146858:292948
    6Pendikspor28139643:222148
    7Igdir FK28128838:37144
    8Bandirmaspor281261040:32842
    9Keciorengucu281010853:361740
    10Manisa FK281171042:41140
    11Boluspor281151247:40738
    12Vanspor FK281081039:32738
    13Sivasspor28911836:29738
    14Istanbulspor AS28911837:41-438
    15Sariyer281051330:35-535
    16Umraniyespor28951433:38-532
    17Serik Spor28851529:54-2529
    18Sakaryaspor28671534:52-1825
    19Hatayspor28072120:77-577
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 28032516:125-109-39

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to