Result
1:0
27/12/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 19
- Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (246/316) | 80% (333/415) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (246/316) | 80% (333/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (14/47) | 50% (27/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (50/72) | 63% (60/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Dembele P. M. ↓, Urie A. ↑,
- 18', Seferi T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', Seferi T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 0, Urie A. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
- 65', Habesoglu A. ↓, Turk A. ↑,
- 77', Turk A. 🟨,
- 78', Brazao P. ↓, Imeri O. ↑,
- 80', Berber O. ↓, Yilmaz O. ↑,
- 80', Regattin A. ↓, Engul B. ↑,
- 89', Aslan A. ↓, Erdilman M. ↑,
- 90', Camara M. ↓, Ozer F. ↑,
- 90', Urie A. ↓, Korkmazoglu E. ↑,
- 90+3', Traore H. 🟨,
- 90+5', Yesilyurt H. E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Akyuz F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sarıyer
29.7% | Draw
27.8% | Bodrumspor
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarıyer's performance.Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarıyer that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bodrumspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sarıyer - Bodrumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↓
(3.84) |
3.32 ↑
(3.2) |
2.16 ↑
(1.93) |
8.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sarıyer - Bodrumspor?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Sarıyer will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodrumspor: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarıyer (votes: 1 - 20%). Bodrumspor (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- 1X2, 2nd Half - Bodrumspor (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Bodrumspor (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarıyer (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Bodrumspor (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Sarıyer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Bodrumspor has had a series of away games.
- Bodrumspor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sarıyer: Keskin A.
(Suspended)
Koksaldi E.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Bodrumspor: Aytemur A.
(Suspended)
Fredy
(International duty)
Obekpa G.
(Inactive)
Yavuzay B.
(Suspended)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarıyer won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarıyer won against Bodrumspor?
Sarıyer has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bodrumspor won against Sarıyer?
Bodrumspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarıyer - Bodrumspor were as follows:
Latest results of Sarıyer
Latest results of Bodrumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 77:36 | 41 | 72 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 79:33 | 46 | 70 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 43 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 44:62 | -18 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hatayspor is Relegated to
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
