Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 9
- Referee: Gokcen O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (319/391) | 73% (209/287) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.08 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (319/391) | 73% (209/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (76/108) | 63% (53/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 75% (3/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 3.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | 2.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Regattin A. (Pen),
- 19', Vukovic J. 🟨,
- 20', Coban B. 🟨,
- 37', Ciftpinar S. 🟨,
- 38', Traore H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Mert M. ↓, Yesilyurt H. E. ↑,
- 46', Cihan M. ↓, Erdogan E. ↑,
- 46', Aydogmus B. ↓, Anziani J. ↑,
- 46', Demir E. ↓, Ben Yedder W. ↑,
- 46', Dursun S. ↓, Cakir B. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 1, Erdogan E. ⚽, Okumus A. (A),
- 64', Dembele P. M. ↓, Babacar K. ↑,
- 70', Yavuz S. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑,
- 74', Erdogan E. 🟨,
- 75', Djilobodji P. ↓, Urie A. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Anziani J. ⚽,
- 81', Bayram O. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 83', Berber O. 🟨,
- 88', Demir M. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Akuazaoku U. ⚽, Coban B. (A),
- 90+1', Akuazaoku U. 🟨,
- 90+7', Babacar K. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Sarıyer
49.3% | Draw
26.5% | Sakaryaspor
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+1%)
Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.96) |
3.48 ↓
(3.49) |
3.81 ↑
(3.6) |
8.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor?
Users Predictions:
Sarıyer will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 1.
- Sarıyer has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sakaryaspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Sarıyer is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Sarıyer: Eksioglu B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Altiparmak B.
(Suspended)
Sanli B.
(Inactive)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Zwolinski L.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarıyer won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarıyer won against Sakaryaspor?
Sarıyer has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Sarıyer?
Sakaryaspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
Latest results of Sarıyer
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24:8 | 16 | 20 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27:11 | 16 | 19 |
| 3 | Pendikspor | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Corum | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Igdir FK | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Amedspor | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | Erzurumspor | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 16:9 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Vanspor FK | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Serik Spor | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 12 |
| 13 | Istanbulspor AS | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Sakaryaspor | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Sariyer | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9:25 | -16 | 3 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4:34 | -30 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
