Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        05/10/2025 at  06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  1. Lig - Round 9
- Referee: Gokcen O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Asia | TOD | 
|  Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 3.21 | 1.45 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 58% | 42% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 5 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (319/391) | 73% (209/287) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 3.21 | 1.45 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 3.08 | 0.73 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 10 | 7 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 5 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 26 | 19 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 13 | 10 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (319/391) | 73% (209/287) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 37% (19/52) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 70% (76/108) | 63% (53/84) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 36% (4/11) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.81 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 19 | 14 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 10 | 13 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 75% (3/4) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 51 | 33 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 17 | 30 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.73 | 3.08 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -1.27 | 2.08 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Regattin A. (Pen), 
- 19', Vukovic J. 🟨, 
- 20', Coban B. 🟨, 
- 37', Ciftpinar S. 🟨, 
- 38', Traore H. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Mert M. ↓, Yesilyurt H. E. ↑, 
- 46', Cihan M. ↓, Erdogan E. ↑, 
- 46', Aydogmus B. ↓, Anziani J. ↑, 
- 46', Demir E. ↓, Ben Yedder W. ↑, 
- 46', Dursun S. ↓, Cakir B. ↑, 
- 60', 0 - 1, Erdogan E. ⚽, Okumus A. (A), 
- 64', Dembele P. M. ↓, Babacar K. ↑, 
- 70', Yavuz S. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑, 
- 74', Erdogan E. 🟨, 
- 75', Djilobodji P. ↓, Urie A. ↑, 
- 78', 1 - 1, Anziani J. ⚽, 
- 81', Bayram O. ↓, Camara M. ↑, 
- 83', Berber O. 🟨, 
- 88', Demir M. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑, 
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Akuazaoku U. ⚽, Coban B. (A), 
- 90+1', Akuazaoku U. 🟨, 
- 90+7', Babacar K. (Pen), 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Sarıyer 49.3%
 | Draw 26.5%
 | Sakaryaspor 24.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.87 ↓ (1.96)
 | 3.48 ↓ (3.49)
 | 3.82 ↑ (3.6)
 | 8.5% (7.5%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Sarıyer will win 
                    (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 1.
- Sarıyer has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sakaryaspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Sarıyer is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Sarıyer: Eksioglu B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Altiparmak B.
(Suspended)
Sanli B.
(Inactive)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Zwolinski L.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarıyer won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Sarıyer won against Sakaryaspor?
                    
                    
                        
                            Sarıyer has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Sarıyer?
                    
                    
                        
                             Sakaryaspor has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Sarıyer                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Sakaryaspor                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Turkish First League Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27:9 | 18 | 24 | 
| 2 | Pendikspor | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 22 | 
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 22:10 | 12 | 22 | 
| 4 | Corum | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 22 | 
| 5 | Erokspor | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 21 | 
| 6 | Amedspor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 | 
| 7 | Igdir FK | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 18 | 
| 8 | Vanspor FK | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 | 
| 9 | Sakaryaspor | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 | 
| 10 | Bandirmaspor | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 | 
| 11 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 | 
| 12 | Boluspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 14 | 
| 13 | Istanbulspor AS | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 | 
| 14 | Serik Spor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | -9 | 13 | 
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 | 
| 16 | Manisa FK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | 
| 17 | Sariyer | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 | 
| 18 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 | 
| 19 | Hatayspor | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11:33 | -22 | 4 | 
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6:44 | -38 | -17 | 
      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation