Sarmiento de Junín 2 vs Ferro 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Clausura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaLPF Play

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 76', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín 2
45.6%
Draw
28.5%
Ferro 2
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 26.4% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 25.7% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín 2's form might have worsened.
  • Ferro 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferro 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Junín 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferro 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Ferro 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.7)
    3.19
    (3.45)
    3.51
    (4.53)
    9.9%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).
    • Sarmiento 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ferro 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sarmiento 2 might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ferro 2
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Tucuman 243106:3310
    2Gimnasia L.P. 242206:338
    3Racing Club 242118:537
    4Velez Sarsfield 242117:437
    5Talleres Cordoba 242116:517
    6San Lorenzo 242115:417
    7River Plate 242027:346
    8Rosario Central 241215:415
    9Union de Santa Fe 241214:405
    10Instituto 241214:405
    11Gimnasia Mendoza 241213:6-35
    12Argentinos Jrs 240403:304
    13Sarmiento Junin 241123:4-14
    14Aldosivi 241126:8-24
    15Godoy Cruz 241125:7-24
    16Tigre 241031:4-33
    17Barracas Central 241031:6-53
    18Banfield 240222:5-32


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors 2431010:3710
    2Lanus 243109:4510
    3Independiente 2430111:479
    4Deportivo Riestra 243018:359
    5Huracan 242117:347
    6Quilmes 242112:117
    7Platense 242114:5-17
    8Newells Old Boys 242113:4-17
    9Atl. Rafaela 242028:626
    10Defensa y Justicia 242025:416
    11Estudiantes L.P. 241214:225
    12Ind. Rivadavia 241122:3-14
    13Ferro 241123:6-34
    14Central Cordoba 241124:9-54
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 240222:6-42
    16Belgrano 240222:7-52
    17Colon Santa Fe 240131:4-31
    18San Martin S.J. 240043:14-110

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