Sarmiento de Junín 2 vs River Plate 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Reserve League Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2
Result
2:2
30/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, LPF Play
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Lencina S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Monaco M. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Calderon F. ,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Obregon A. ,
  • 86', 🟥,
  • 86', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín 2
22.2%
Draw
26.9%
River Plate 2
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.1% 27% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5% 26.2% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • River Plate 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.11
    (4.35)
    3.39
    (3.4)
    1.79
    (1.76)
    9.6%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Sarmiento 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
    • River Plate 2 is in first-class shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).
    • River Plate 2 could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match, River Plate 2 is a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2 were as follows:
    16.03.2023 River Plate 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2 1:0
    Latest results of River Plate 2
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano 21182123:91426
    2Boca Juniors 21172218:71123
    3Newells Old Boys 21161415:14119
    4Tigre 21153313:12118
    5Union de Santa Fe 21152416:16017
    6Huracan 21144315:10516
    7Barracas Central 21144310:11-116
    8Racing Club 21043313:16-315
    9Estudiantes L.P. 21134416:14213
    10Ind. Rivadavia 21034315:13213
    11Central Cordoba 21034313:13013
    12Colon Santa Fe 2112549:13-411
    13Argentinos Jrs 21023514:15-19
    14Defensa y Justicia 21123611:17-69
    15Aldosivi 2112279:13-48
    16Banfield 2112277:21-148


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central 21172218:10823
    2Instituto 21063116:61021
    3Atl. Tucuman 21062217:8920
    4River Plate 21155116:8820
    5Gimnasia L.P. 21154214:10419
    6Talleres Cordoba 21152411:9217
    7Sarmiento Junin 21143411:13-215
    8Independiente 21143411:15-415
    9Lanus 2104246:9-314
    10San Martin S.J. 21040610:14-412
    11Platense 2103349:13-412
    12Godoy Cruz 21131711:17-610
    13Velez Sarsfield 2111648:11-39
    14San Lorenzo 2102358:11-39
    15Ferro 21123610:20-109
    16Deportivo Riestra 21122710:15-58

          Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)