Sarmiento de Junín 2 vs River Plate 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Reserve League Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2
Result
2:2
30/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, LPF Play
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Lencina S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Monaco M. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Calderon F. ,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Obregon A. ,
  • 86', 🟥,
  • 86', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín 2
22.2%
Draw
26.9%
River Plate 2
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.1% 27% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5% 26.2% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • River Plate 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.11
    (4.35)
    3.39
    (3.4)
    1.79
    (1.76)
    9.6%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Sarmiento 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
    • River Plate 2 is in first-class shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).
    • River Plate 2 could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match, River Plate 2 is a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2 were as follows:
    16.03.2023 River Plate 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2 1:0
    Latest results of River Plate 2
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newells Old Boys 2751112:6616
    2Belgrano 2751113:8516
    3Boca Juniors 2750213:6715
    4Union de Santa Fe 2750213:11215
    5Barracas Central 284229:8114
    6Central Cordoba 2833212:10212
    7Racing Club 2833212:13-112
    8Tigre 283239:10-111
    9Estudiantes L.P. 2824214:11310
    10Colon Santa Fe 282428:8010
    11Huracan 272239:818
    12Ind. Rivadavia 2722310:1008
    13Aldosivi 272057:9-26
    14Argentinos Jrs 271159:12-34
    15Banfield 281164:17-134
    16Defensa y Justicia 270257:14-72


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Tucuman 2861116:61019
    2Rosario Central 2750210:6415
    3Instituto 2742111:4714
    4Talleres Cordoba 274129:4513
    5River Plate 2733110:4612
    6Gimnasia L.P. 283328:7112
    7Independiente 283326:7-112
    8Sarmiento Junin 2832310:11-111
    9Lanus 283144:8-410
    10San Martin S.J. 273047:9-29
    11Platense 272237:11-48
    12Deportivo Riestra 272146:8-27
    13Godoy Cruz 272147:10-37
    14San Lorenzo 271334:7-36
    15Ferro 281347:15-86
    16Velez Sarsfield 280442:7-54

          Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)