Sarmiento de La Banda vs Defensores de Vilelas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de La Banda
60.5%
Draw
26.1%
Defensores de Vilelas
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 26.7% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 23.8% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Defensores de Vilelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de La Banda that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Sarmiento de La Banda - Defensores de Vilelas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.52)
    3.46
    (3.43)
    6.7
    (7.03)
    11%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
    • Sarmiento La Banda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Def de Vilelas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Def de Vilelas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sarmiento La Banda is the undisputed favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig660011:4718
    2Defensores Belgrano VR632111:7411
    3Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    49 de Julio Rafaela631211:8310
    5Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    6Chivilcoy63125:5010
    7El Linqueno62135:9-47
    8Sportivo Las Parejas61234:7-35
    9Atletico Escobar61146:12-64
    10Gimnasia E.R60154:10-61


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana53117:4310
    2Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    3San Martin Formosa52215:508
    4Boca Unidos52129:817
    5Defensores de Vilelas62139:907
    6Tucuman Central52125:507
    7Sol de America52124:407
    8Sarmiento Resistencia60516:8-25
    9Sarmiento de La Banda50322:5-33


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti632110:7311
    2Biblioteca Atenas53117:3410
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    5Costa Brava71426:517
    6Argentino MM51312:3-16
    7Deportivo Rincon51226:7-15
    8San Martin Mendoza51221:4-35
    9Fundacion Amigos50234:10-62


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca55007:0715
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Alvarado62314:319
    5Santamarina61416:427
    6Germinal51313:306
    7Villa Mitre51223:305
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

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