Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Heraclea
38.1% | Draw
27.8% | Sarnese
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heraclea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Heraclea - Sarnese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38
(2.38) |
3.26 ↓
(3.3) |
2.67 ↑
(2.65) |
10.2%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ))
- Heraclea has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sarnese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Heraclea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Heraclea won against Sarnese?
Heraclea has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarnese won against Heraclea?
Sarnese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heraclea - Sarnese were as follows:
09.11.2025
Sarnese
-
Heraclea
0:1
Latest results of Heraclea
Latest results of Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 43:16 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Paganese | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 53 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 52 |
| 4 | Citta di Fasano | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 52 |
| 5 | Afragolese | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | A.C.D. Nardo | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Gravina | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 39 |
| 9 | Fidelis Andria | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:25 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | SS Nola 1925 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Real Normanna | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Heraclea | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:28 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Sarnese | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 40:41 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Francavilla | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 18:33 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Pompei | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 14:31 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 15:56 | -41 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
