Result
0:1
09/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 82', 🟥,
- 90', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Sarnese
42.5% | Draw
27.5% | Heraclea
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarnese's form might have worsened.Heraclea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarnese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Sarnese - Heraclea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.91) |
3.34 ↓
(3.6) |
3.06 ↓
(3.49) |
8.9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
- Sarnese is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Heraclea is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sarnese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarnese won against Heraclea?
Sarnese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heraclea won against Sarnese?
Heraclea has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarnese - Heraclea were as follows:
Latest results of Sarnese
Latest results of Heraclea
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 38:13 | 25 | 51 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 51 |
| 3 | Paganese | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Citta di Fasano | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 46 |
| 5 | Afragolese | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 42 |
| 6 | A.C.D. Nardo | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 41 |
| 7 | Gravina | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Virtus Francavilla | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 37 |
| 9 | SS Nola 1925 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Fidelis Andria | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:23 | 4 | 34 |
| 11 | Heraclea | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Francavilla | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 25:29 | -4 | 31 |
| 14 | Real Normanna | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 18:19 | -1 | 30 |
| 15 | Sarnese | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 16:29 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | Pompei | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 12:29 | -17 | 18 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15:55 | -40 | 13 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
