Result
1:3
31/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 20
- Referee: Lien M. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (281/350) | 86% (419/489) |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (281/350) | 86% (419/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/66) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (89/115) | 80% (161/202) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (6/33) | 41% (12/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 3.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Karlsbakk D. ⚽, Job D. (A),
- 42', Granath G. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Jonsson V. ↓, Simenstad G. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 2, Berget J. ⚽, Reinhardsen P. (A),
- 54', 0 - 3, Simenstad G. (Own goal),
- 59', Sorli S. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
- 60', Karlsbakk D. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 3, Simenstad G. ⚽, Ekeroth A. (A),
- 64', Mawa M. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
- 71', Reinhardsen P. ↓, Wichne E. ↑,
- 71', Job D. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
- 78', Lien K. ↓, Udahl H. ↑,
- 78', Soras T. ↓, Gojani E. ↑,
- 88', Sjolstad F. ↓, Sunday P. ↑,
- 90+2', Berget J. ↓, Svenningsen Gronn M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hamarkameratene
37.7% | Draw
25.8% | Sarpsborg 08
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamarkameratene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamarkameratene than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamarkameratene that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarpsborg 08 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hamarkameratene - Sarpsborg 08 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.8) |
3.66 ↓
(3.87) |
2.6 ↑
(2.32) |
5.9%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hamarkameratene - Sarpsborg 08?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. HamKam will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HamKam: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hamarkameratene will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HamKam won 1.
- Recent performances by HamKam have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sarpsborg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sarpsborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in HamKam: Johnsgard M.
(Ankle Injury)
Kirkevold P.
(Knee Injury)
Rye O.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F.
(Thigh Injury)
Nibe A.
(Foot Injury)
Sher A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Jeahze M.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, HamKam won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, HamKam won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamarkameratene won against Sarpsborg 08?
Hamarkameratene has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Hamarkameratene?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamarkameratene - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
11.05.2025
Sarpsborg 08
-
Hamarkameratene
4:0
07.03.2025
Hamarkameratene
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:2
20.10.2024
Hamarkameratene
-
Sarpsborg 08
0:2
16.05.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Hamarkameratene
1:7
16.03.2024
Hamarkameratene
-
Sarpsborg 08
0:0
Latest results of Hamarkameratene
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 51:18 | 33 | 45 |
| 2 | Viking | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 49:27 | 22 | 45 |
| 3 | Brann | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35:28 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | Tromso | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 5 | Valerenga | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 30 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
| 7 | Sandefjord | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 36:28 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 27 |
| 9 | Fredrikstad | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 27 |
| 10 | Molde | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 27 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 31:30 | 1 | 25 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | HamKam | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 | Bryne | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 20 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 13 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12:51 | -39 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
