Lillestrøm SK vs Sarpsborg 08 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
06/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NM Cup - Final

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
48
Corner Kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Berget J. , Karlsbakk D. (A),
  • 45', Utvik B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', Sher A. 🟨,
  • 67', Carstensen F. , Job D. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Olsen T. , Karlsbakk M. (A),
  • 73', 2 - 1, Karlsbakk M. , Drammeh S. (A),
  • 75', Kitolano E. 🟨,
  • 76', Berget J. , Tangen H. ,
  • 77', Koch M. 🟨,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Garnas E. B. , Felix Va (A),
  • 85', Felix Va , Paintsil Y. ,
  • 85', Olsen T. , Diop M. ,
  • 85', Jeahze M. , Odegaard M. ,
  • 85', Reinhardsen P. , Trondsen A. ,
  • 86', Sher A. , Hiim A. ,
  • 89', Karlsbakk M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Drammeh S. , Foss S. ,
  • 90+7', Gabrielsen R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lillestrøm SK
44.1%
Draw
27.4%
Sarpsborg 08
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 25.9% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 24.5% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.22)
    3.53
    (3.6)
    3.38
    (2.92)
    2.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sarpsborg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Ullevaal Stadion.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 1.
    • Lillestrøm has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Sarpsborg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lillestrøm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lillestrøm is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
    28.07.2024 Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08 2:2
    05.05.2024 Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK 1:0
    17.09.2023 Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK 3:1
    16.05.2023 Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08 1:2
    Latest results of Lillestrøm SK
    08.11.2025 Lillestrøm SK - Stabæk 3:0
    25.10.2025 Lillestrøm SK - Ranheim 2:1
    22.10.2025 Odd - Lillestrøm SK 1:7
    17.10.2025 Lillestrøm SK - Lyn 5:1
    Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
    30.11.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Molde 1:0
    23.11.2025 Bryne - Sarpsborg 08 0:3
    08.11.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Fredrikstad 0:2
    02.11.2025 Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08 4:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1SpjelkavikBrattvag2 : 4
    2FordeHodd0 : 2
    4ByeBryne
    5HaugesundBye
    8ByeRosenborg
    9UlfstindAlta4 : 3
    10FinnsnesTromsdalen0 : 8
    12ByeSandefjord
    13BrannBye
    15AskerSkeid3 : 0
    16VestfossenMjondalen1 : 5
    17BjargSogndal2 : 0
    18VidarV. Haugesund1 : 4
    19Gamle OsloEidsvold TF2 : 1
    20Baerum SportsklubbStabaek0 : 5
    21FlintEik-Tonsberg0 : 1
    22VigorStart0 : 3
    24ByeViking
    25LyseklosterSandviken3 : 0
    26GneistAsane2 : 3
    27StrindheimStjordals Blink2 : 3
    28TraeffAalesund1 : 4
    29ArendalJerv3 : 2
    30FlekkeroyEgersund1 : 2
    31FolloNotodden6 : 2
    32NordstrandLyn1 : 3
    33StromsgodsetBye
    36ByeMolde
    37Ull/KisaStrommen0 : 2
    38PorsOdd1 : 3
    40ByeBodo/Glimt
    41Trygg/LadeRanheim2 : 1
    42NardoLevanger0 : 6
    44ByeHamKam
    45Djerv 1919Sotra3 : 2
    46Madla ILSandnes1 : 2
    47HonefossRaufoss3 : 0
    48LorenskogLillestrom1 : 4
    49JunkerenRana FK3 : 1
    50BrumunddalKongsvinger1 : 5
    52ByeKFUM Oslo
    53TromsoBye
    56ByeKristiansund
    57ValerengaBye
    60ByeFredrikstad
    61KjelsasGrorud1 : 0
    62RadeMoss0 : 1
    64ByeSarpsborg 08

    1/32-finals
    1BrattvagHodd5 : 4
    2ByeBryne
    3HaugesundBye
    4ByeRosenborg
    5UlfstindTromsdalen2 : 5
    6ByeSandefjord
    7BrannBye
    8AskerMjondalen1 : 4
    9BjargV. Haugesund2 : 1
    10Gamle OsloStabaek1 : 4
    11Eik-TonsbergStart3 : 0
    12ByeViking
    13LyseklosterAsane3 : 0
    14Stjordals BlinkAalesund1 : 2
    15ArendalEgersund2 : 3
    16FolloLyn0 : 2
    17StromsgodsetBye
    18ByeMolde
    19StrommenOdd2 : 3
    20ByeBodo/Glimt
    21Trygg/LadeLevanger1 : 3
    22ByeHamKam
    23Djerv 1919Sandnes2 : 6
    24HonefossLillestrom2 : 3
    25JunkerenKongsvinger0 : 4
    26ByeKFUM Oslo
    27TromsoBye
    28ByeKristiansund
    29ValerengaBye
    30ByeFredrikstad
    31KjelsasMoss2 : 1
    32ByeSarpsborg 08

    1/16-finals
    1BrattvagBryne1 : 2
    2HaugesundRosenborg1 : 4
    3TromsdalenSandefjord6 : 1
    4BrannMjondalen5 : 1
    5BjargStabaek6 : 1
    6Eik-TonsbergViking0 : 2
    7LyseklosterAalesund1 : 3
    8EgersundLyn3 : 2
    9StromsgodsetMolde1 : 2
    10OddBodo/Glimt1 : 3
    11LevangerHamKam1 : 5
    12SandnesLillestrom1 : 2
    13KongsvingerKFUM Oslo1 : 3
    14TromsoKristiansund2 : 1
    15ValerengaFredrikstad1 : 2
    16KjelsasSarpsborg 085 : 6

    1/8-finals
    1BryneRosenborg4 : 2
    2TromsdalenBrann2 : 3
    3BjargViking0 : 3
    4AalesundEgersund3 : 2
    5MoldeBodo/Glimt1 : 2
    6HamKamLillestrom0 : 2
    7KFUM OsloTromso2 : 1
    8FredrikstadSarpsborg 082 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1BryneBrann1 : 2
    2VikingAalesund1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtLillestrom4 : 0
    4KFUM OsloFredrikstad3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1BrannAalesund
    2Bodo/GlimtKFUM Oslo