Lillestrøm SK vs Sarpsborg 08 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian Eliteserien Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08
Result
2:2
28/07/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NORWAY: Eliteserien - Round 16
  • Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
worldWorldOnefootball app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.54
Ball Possession
69%31%
Goal Attempts
123
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
41
Blocked Shots
30
Free Kicks
176
Corner Kicks
91
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
3219
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Fouls
617
Yellow Cards
24
Attacks
12180
Dangerous Attacks
8229

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Meister H. , Halvorsen V. E. (A),
  • 30', Halvorsen V. E. , Berget J. ,
  • 38', 0 - 2, Meister H. , Tebo Uchenna F. (A),
  • 40', Lundemo M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Johansen S. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Sher A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 2, Gabrielsen R. , Asen G. (A),
  • 61', Reinhardsen P. , Ngouali S. ,
  • 61', Eriksson C. 🟨,
  • 68', Charles U. , Rossing-Lelesiit A. ,
  • 68', Krygard K. , Foss S. ,
  • 77', Elkaer F. , Ibrahimaj Y. ,
  • 78', Felix Va , Karlsbakk M. ,
  • 78', Johansen S. , Chrupalla P. ,
  • 78', Skipper A. , Koch M. ,
  • 81', Olsen T. , Skogvold H. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Lundemo M. , Garnas E. B. (A),
  • 90+5', Hiim A. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lillestrøm SK
48.7%
Draw
23.7%
Sarpsborg 08
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 23.4% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 22.9% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.82)
    3.99
    (4)
    3.43
    (3.72)
    5.7%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg: 31.2%83%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Eliteserien (Relegation)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Sarpsborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Lillestrøm will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lillestrøm: Knudtzon E. (Injury) Ranger L. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarpsborg: Odegaard M. (Injury) Sandberg N. (Injury) Tibbling S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Hoff V. (Injury) Larsson E. (Injury) Roseth M. (Injury) Solberg E. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 29-28.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lillestrøm won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-11.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
    05.05.2024 Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK 1:0
    17.09.2023 Sarpsborg 08 - Lillestrøm SK 3:1
    16.05.2023 Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08 1:2
    Latest results of Lillestrøm SK
    Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
    20.07.2024 Sarpsborg 08 - Brann 1:1
    12.07.2024 Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg 4:1
    07.07.2024 Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08 1:2
    28.06.2024 Sarpsborg 08 - Bodø Glimt 1:2
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Viking18123345:252039
    2Bodo/Glimt15102339:152432
    3Tromso15101428:22631
    4Rosenborg1786323:17630
    5Brann1693427:24330
    6Sandefjord1590631:201127
    7Fredrikstad1774623:20325
    8Sarpsborg 081557325:17822
    9KFUM Oslo1563625:19621
    10Kristiansund1754818:31-1319
    11Valerenga1653822:27-518
    12Bryne1553721:27-618
    13Molde1552822:23-117
    14HamKam1545617:25-817
    15Stromsgodset15201319:36-176
    16Haugesund1602145:42-372

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen