Nocerina vs Sarrabus Ogliastra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group G - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Floris M. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Giannone L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Nocerina
62.5%
Draw
22.3%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 22.3% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 21.3% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Sarrabus Ogliastra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.49)
    4.07
    (4.08)
    5.97
    (5.44)
    10.3%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Nocerina (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nocerina will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nocerina (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • Nocerina has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sarrabus Ogliastra has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sarrabus Ogliastra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nocerina is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Nocerina will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra were as follows:
    24.02.2024 Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra 1:0
    22.10.2023 Sarrabus Ogliastra - Nocerina 3:2
    Latest results of Nocerina
    09.11.2025 Valmontone - Nocerina 0:1
    02.11.2025 Nocerina - Cassino 2:0
    22.10.2025 Reggina - Nocerina 2:3
    19.10.2025 Nocerina - Montespaccato 1:1
    Latest results of Sarrabus Ogliastra
    Italian Serie D - Group G Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Scafatese ✔ 28226061:184372
    2Trastevere Calcio28158553:351853
    3Nocerina281110735:30543
    4Albalonga28127947:44343
    5Flaminia281011741:301141
    6Monastir281251142:39341
    7Sarrabus Ogliastra281171042:45-340
    8Palmese 191428912738:31739
    9Ischia281071134:42-837
    10Atl. Lodigiani28991038:36236
    11Valmontone281061235:43-836
    12Budoni28971228:29-134
    13Anzio Calcio 1924288101030:37-734
    14Latte Dolce281041437:45-834
    15Olbia286121030:39-930
    16Montespaccato286111139:44-529
    17Real Monterotondo28651729:49-2023
    18Cassino28471720:43-2319

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Scafatese is Confirmed as championsnQualified for