Result
2:1
16/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group G - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Floris M. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 1, Giannone L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nocerina 62.5% | Draw 22.3% | Sarrabus Ogliastra 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Sarrabus Ogliastra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.45 ↓ (1.49) |
4.07 ↓ (4.08) |
5.97 ↑ (5.44) |
10.3% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Nocerina (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nocerina will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nocerina (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 9).
- Nocerina has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sarrabus Ogliastra has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sarrabus Ogliastra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nocerina is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Nocerina will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Nocerina won against Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Nocerina has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarrabus Ogliastra won against Nocerina?
Sarrabus Ogliastra has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra were as follows:
24.02.2024
Nocerina
-
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1:0
22.10.2023
Sarrabus Ogliastra
-
Nocerina
3:2
Latest results of Nocerina
Latest results of Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italian Serie D - Group G Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Scafatese | 26 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 55:16 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 50:33 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Monastir | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Albalonga | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:40 | 4 | 40 |
| 5 | Nocerina | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Flaminia | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 36 |
| 7 | Atl. Lodigiani | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 36 |
| 8 | Ischia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 10 | Latte Dolce | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 11 | Valmontone | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 34 |
| 12 | Palmese 1914 | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | 2 | 33 |
| 13 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Budoni | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 25:26 | -1 | 31 |
| 15 | Olbia | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Montespaccato | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 35:42 | -7 | 25 |
| 17 | Real Monterotondo | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27:41 | -14 | 23 |
| 18 | Cassino | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20:42 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: )
Relegation