Result
3:1
11/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', 1 - 1, Pena W. ⚽,
- 66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 74', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lealtad 42.9% | Draw 29.7% | Sarriana 27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+1%)
Lealtad - Sarriana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↓ (2.22) |
3.1 ↑ (3.06) |
3.36 ↑ (3.06) |
8.7% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lealtad - Sarriana?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Lealtad (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Sarriana (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lealtad (votes: 1 - 50%). Sarriana (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- Recent form of Lealtad has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sarriana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lealtad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lealtad won against Sarriana?
Lealtad has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarriana won against Lealtad?
Sarriana has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lealtad - Sarriana were as follows:
14.09.2025
Sarriana
-
Lealtad
2:0
Latest results of Lealtad
Latest results of Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 43:17 | 26 | 54 |
| 2 | Oviedo B | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 52 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Salamanca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | UD Ourense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:27 | 2 | 41 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37:38 | -1 | 41 |
| 7 | Coruxo FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Numancia | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 34:28 | 6 | 40 |
| 9 | Atl. Astorga | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Marino de Luanco | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:20 | 2 | 34 |
| 12 | Rayo Cantabria | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 32 |
| 13 | Sarriana | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Langreo | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 24:31 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Valladolid Promesas | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 43:49 | -6 | 29 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 28:44 | -16 | 25 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20:36 | -16 | 24 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20:60 | -40 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation