Result
3:1
11/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', 1 - 1, Pena W. ⚽,
- 66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 74', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lealtad
42.9% | Draw
29.7% | Sarriana
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+1%)
Lealtad - Sarriana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.22) |
3.1 ↑
(3.06) |
3.36 ↑
(3.06) |
8.7%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lealtad - Sarriana?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Lealtad (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Sarriana (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lealtad (votes: 1 - 50%). Sarriana (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- Recent form of Lealtad has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sarriana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lealtad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lealtad won against Sarriana?
Lealtad has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarriana won against Lealtad?
Sarriana has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lealtad - Sarriana were as follows:
14.09.2025
Sarriana
-
Lealtad
2:0
Latest results of Lealtad
Latest results of Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Oviedo B | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 48 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 48 |
| 5 | Real Avila | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:41 | 3 | 47 |
| 6 | Coruxo FC | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 38:32 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Salamanca | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 8 | Numancia | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 9 | Bergantinos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | Atl. Astorga | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37:39 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Langreo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Rayo Cantabria | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 51:41 | 10 | 39 |
| 13 | Marino de Luanco | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 25:23 | 2 | 38 |
| 14 | Sarriana | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38:36 | 2 | 37 |
| 15 | Valladolid Promesas | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 50:56 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 35:52 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 | UD Samano ✔ | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 21:71 | -50 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
UD Samano is Relegated to
