Result
3:1
11/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', 1 - 1, Pena W. ⚽,
- 66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 74', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lealtad
42.9% | Draw
29.7% | Sarriana
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+1%)
Lealtad - Sarriana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.22) |
3.1 ↑
(3.06) |
3.36 ↑
(3.06) |
8.7%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lealtad - Sarriana?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Lealtad (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Sarriana (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lealtad (votes: 1 - 50%). Sarriana (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- Recent form of Lealtad has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sarriana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lealtad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lealtad won against Sarriana?
Lealtad has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarriana won against Lealtad?
Sarriana has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lealtad - Sarriana were as follows:
14.09.2025
Sarriana
-
Lealtad
2:0
Latest results of Lealtad
Latest results of Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril ✔ | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 69 |
| 2 | Oviedo B ✔ | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 47:33 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | UD Ourense ✔ | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 54 |
| 4 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 51 |
| 5 | Numancia | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 50 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48:48 | 0 | 50 |
| 7 | Coruxo FC | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 43:36 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Salamanca | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 41:35 | 6 | 47 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 59:47 | 12 | 45 |
| 10 | Marino de Luanco | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 31:25 | 6 | 45 |
| 11 | Bergantinos | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
| 12 | Atl. Astorga | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40:42 | -2 | 44 |
| 13 | Langreo | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 43 |
| 14 | Valladolid Promesas | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 57:58 | -1 | 42 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B ✔ | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 38:53 | -15 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad ✔ | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 30:52 | -22 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano ✔ | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23:82 | -59 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Dep. Fabril is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Oviedo B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
UD Ourense is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Burgos CF B is Relegated to
Lealtad is Relegated to
UD Samano is Relegated to
