Result
1:3
30/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 14
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 28', 0 - 1, Bakayoko A. ⚽,
- 38', 0 - 2, Bakayoko A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sasso Marconi
28.1% | Draw
29.3% | Desenzano Calvina
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desenzano Calvina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desenzano Calvina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sasso Marconi - Desenzano Calvina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↓
(3.74) |
3.1 ↓
(3.63) |
2.13 ↑
(1.8) |
10.3%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
- Sasso Marconi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Desenzano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Desenzano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sasso Marconi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sasso Marconi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sasso Marconi won against Desenzano Calvina?
Sasso Marconi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Desenzano Calvina won against Sasso Marconi?
Desenzano Calvina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sasso Marconi - Desenzano Calvina were as follows:
Latest results of Sasso Marconi
Latest results of Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lentigione | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 38:14 | 24 | 58 |
| 2 | Desenzano | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 47:18 | 29 | 57 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 42:16 | 26 | 56 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 37:19 | 18 | 47 |
| 6 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 31:21 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Rovato Vertovese | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Pro Palazzolo | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 40 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 32:32 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Crema | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 30 |
| 12 | SCD Progresso | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | Correggese | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 22:29 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | Sasso Marconi | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24:35 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Imolese | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Trevigliese | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 20 |
| 17 | Tropical Coriano | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 20:38 | -18 | 19 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 26 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 14:52 | -38 | 7 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation
