Result
1:4
17/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Russo F. ⚽,
- 39', 0 - 2, Russo F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 80', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 85', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sasso Marconi
16.4% | Draw
26.3% | Pistoiese
57.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sasso Marconi's form might have worsened.Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sasso Marconi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Sasso Marconi - Pistoiese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.5 ↑
(4.1) |
3.44 ↓
(3.58) |
1.58 ↓
(1.74) |
10.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
- In recent matches, Sasso Marconi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pistoiese is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Pistoiese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Pistoiese is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sasso Marconi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Sasso Marconi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sasso Marconi won against Pistoiese?
Sasso Marconi has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pistoiese won against Sasso Marconi?
Pistoiese has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sasso Marconi - Pistoiese were as follows:
20.09.2025
Pistoiese
-
Sasso Marconi
3:0
02.03.2025
Pistoiese
-
Sasso Marconi
3:1
27.10.2024
Sasso Marconi
-
Pistoiese
2:1
Latest results of Sasso Marconi
Latest results of Pistoiese
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lentigione | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 38:14 | 24 | 58 |
| 2 | Desenzano | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 47:18 | 29 | 57 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 42:16 | 26 | 56 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 37:19 | 18 | 47 |
| 6 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 31:21 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Rovato Vertovese | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Pro Palazzolo | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 40 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 32:32 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Crema | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 30 |
| 12 | SCD Progresso | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | Correggese | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 22:29 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | Sasso Marconi | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24:35 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Imolese | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Trevigliese | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 20 |
| 17 | Tropical Coriano | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 20:38 | -18 | 19 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 26 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 14:52 | -38 | 7 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation
