Genoa vs Sassuolo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Genoa - Sassuolo
Result
2:1
12/05/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 36
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport
swedenSwedenTV4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.81
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
912
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
35
Blocked Shots
33
Free Kicks
914
Corner Kicks
37
Offsides
30
Throw-ins
2115
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Fouls
1310
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
498356
Completed Passes
418278
Attacks
12877
Dangerous Attacks
3260
Crosses Completed
65
Distance Covered (km)
110110

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Pinamonti A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sabelli S. , Spence D. ,
  • 46', Vogliacco A. , Ekuban C. ,
  • 48', Thorsby M. 🟨,
  • 50', Obiang P. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Badelj M. , Thorsby M. (A),
  • 63', 2 - 1, Kumbulla M. (Own goal),
  • 68', Kumbulla M. , Volpato C. ,
  • 68', Thorstvedt K. , Bajrami N. ,
  • 75', Doig J. 🟨,
  • 75', Gudmundsson A. , Strootman K. ,
  • 76', Obiang P. , Racic U. ,
  • 85', Badelj M. , Bohinen E. ,
  • 86', Erlic M. , Mulattieri S. ,
  • 86', Matheus Henrique , Lipani L. ,
  • 88', Retegui M. , Ankeye D. ,

Chances of winning


Genoa
42.1%
Draw
27.3%
Sassuolo
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 26.4% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 25.8% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Genoa's form might have worsened.
  • Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genoa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sassuolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Genoa - Sassuolo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.99)
    3.51
    (3.59)
    3.13
    (3.67)
    4.2%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Genoa - Sassuolo?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 18 - 47.4%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 10 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 26.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 31.5%63.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Genoa won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Genoa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Genoa will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Genoa won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25-34.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Genoa won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-11.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Sassuolo were as follows:
    22.12.2023 Sassuolo - Genoa 1:2
    Latest results of Genoa
    05.05.2024 Milan - Genoa 3:3
    29.04.2024 Genoa - Cagliari 3:0
    19.04.2024 Genoa - Lazio 0:1
    15.04.2024 Fiorentina - Genoa 1:1
    07.04.2024 Verona - Genoa 1:2
    Latest results of Sassuolo
    04.05.2024 Sassuolo - Inter Milan 1:0
    28.04.2024 Fiorentina - Sassuolo 5:1
    21.04.2024 Sassuolo - Lecce 0:3
    14.04.2024 Sassuolo - Milan 3:3
    05.04.2024 Salernitana - Sassuolo 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli33006:159
    2Juventus33007:349
    3Cremonese22005:326
    4AS Roma32012:116
    5Udinese21103:214
    6Cagliari31113:214
    7Torino31111:5-44
    8Lazio21014:223
    9AC Milan21013:213
    10Como21012:113
    11Bologna21011:103
    12Inter31029:633
    13Atalanta20202:202
    14Fiorentina30212:4-22
    15Pisa20111:2-11
    16Genoa20110:1-11
    17Lecce20110:2-21
    18Verona20111:5-41
    19Parma30121:5-41
    20Sassuolo20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B