Milan vs Sassuolo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
14/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 15
  • Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistan1TV
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaANTV, Vidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tabii, Tivibu Spor 1, TRT Spor
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.07
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
89% (478/540)84% (322/383)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.252.12
Total shots
138
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
89% (478/540)84% (322/383)
Long passes
55% (17/31)46% (17/37)
Passes in final third
73% (98/135)71% (69/97)
Crosses
21% (6/29)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.571.12
Throw-ins
2314
Fouls
1212
Tackles
53% (9/17)80% (12/15)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
2330
Interceptions
413
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.121.25
Goals prevented
0.12-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Kone I. , Pinamonti A. (A),
  • 23', Fadera A. 🟨,
  • 23', Loftus-Cheek R. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Bartesaghi D. , Loftus-Cheek R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 1, Bartesaghi D. , Nkunku C. (A),
  • 57', Muharemovic T. 🟨,
  • 59', Fadera A. , Lauriente A. ,
  • 60', Cande F. , Doig J. ,
  • 60', Gabbia M. , De Winter K. ,
  • 66', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,
  • 73', Pulisic C. , Ricci S. ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Lauriente A. , Pinamonti A. (A),
  • 86', Volpato C. , Cheddira W. ,
  • 86', Pinamonti A. , Moro L. ,
  • 90', Saelemaekers A. , Athekame Z. ,
  • 90+1', Bartesaghi D. , Estupinan P. ,

Chances of winning


Milan
63.5%
Draw
22%
Sassuolo
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.4% 20% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 19.2% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Milan - Sassuolo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.41)
    4.31
    (4.74)
    6.67
    (7.53)
    5.1%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Milan - Sassuolo?
  • Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 42 - 79.2%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 6 - 11.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 68.3%90.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Sassuolo (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Milan (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Milan (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Sassuolo (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Sassuolo (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.
    • Milan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sassuolo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Milan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Milan has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Milan is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Milan: Leao R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sassuolo: Berardi D. (Muscle Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Romagna F. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Athekame Z. (Muscle Injury) Fofana Y. (Injury) Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Knee Injury) Paz Y. (Hip Injury) Skjellerup L. (Muscle Injury) Turati S. (Wrist Injury) Vranckx A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 1.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Sassuolo were as follows:
    03.12.2024 Milan - Sassuolo 6:1
    14.04.2024 Sassuolo - Milan 3:3
    30.12.2023 Milan - Sassuolo 1:0
    29.01.2023 Milan - Sassuolo 2:5
    30.08.2022 Sassuolo - Milan 0:0
    Latest results of Milan
    08.12.2025 Torino - Milan 2:3
    04.12.2025 Lazio - Milan 1:0
    29.11.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:0
    23.11.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 0:1
    08.11.2025 Parma - Milan 2:2
    Latest results of Sassuolo
    06.12.2025 Sassuolo - Fiorentina 3:1
    28.11.2025 Como - Sassuolo 2:0
    24.11.2025 Sassuolo - Pisa 2:2
    09.11.2025 Atalanta - Sassuolo 0:3
    03.11.2025 Sassuolo - Genoa 1:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter30223566:244269
    2AC Milan30189347:232463
    3Napoli30195646:301662
    4Como30169553:223157
    5Juventus30159652:292354
    6AS Roma301731040:231754
    7Atalanta301311641:271450
    8Lazio301110931:28343
    9Bologna301261238:36242
    10Sassuolo301161336:40-439
    11Udinese301161335:42-739
    12Parma308101221:38-1734
    13Genoa30891336:42-633
    14Torino30961534:53-1933
    15Cagliari30791431:42-1130
    16Fiorentina306111335:44-929
    17Cremonese30691525:44-1927
    18Lecce30761721:40-1927
    19Verona30391822:52-3018
    20Pisa302121623:54-3118

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B