Milan vs Sassuolo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan).

Serie A - Round 15
Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	1TV
Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tabii, Tivibu Spor 1, TRT Spor
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.07
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
89% (478/540)	84% (322/383)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.25	2.12
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
36	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
89% (478/540)	84% (322/383)
Long passes
55% (17/31)	46% (17/37)
Passes in final third
73% (98/135)	71% (69/97)
Crosses
21% (6/29)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.57	1.12
Throw-ins
23	14
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
53% (9/17)	80% (12/15)
Duels won
51	36
Clearances
23	30
Interceptions
4	13
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
2.12	1.25
Goals prevented
0.12	-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Kone I. ⚽, Pinamonti A. (A),
23', Fadera A. 🟨,
23', Loftus-Cheek R. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Bartesaghi D. ⚽, Loftus-Cheek R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Bartesaghi D. ⚽, Nkunku C. (A),
57', Muharemovic T. 🟨,
59', Fadera A. ↓, Lauriente A. ↑,
60', Cande F. ↓, Doig J. ↑,
60', Gabbia M. ↓, De Winter K. ↑,
66', Thorstvedt K. 🟨,
73', Pulisic C. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Lauriente A. ⚽, Pinamonti A. (A),
86', Volpato C. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
86', Pinamonti A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
90', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
90+1', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Estupinan P. ↑,

Chances of winning

Milan
63.5%

Draw
22%

Sassuolo
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

20%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

19.2%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Milan - Sassuolo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)	4.31 ↓ (4.74)	6.67 ↓ (7.53)	5.1% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Milan - Sassuolo?

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 42 - 79.2%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 6 - 11.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 68.3% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Sassuolo (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Milan (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Milan (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sassuolo (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Sassuolo (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.
Milan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sassuolo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Milan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Milan has had a series of away games.
In this match, Milan is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Milan: Leao R. (Injury)
There will not play in Sassuolo: Berardi D. (Muscle Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Romagna F. (Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Milan: Athekame Z. (Muscle Injury) Fofana Y. (Injury) Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Knee Injury) Paz Y. (Hip Injury) Skjellerup L. (Muscle Injury) Turati S. (Wrist Injury) Vranckx A. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 1.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.9:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Sassuolo?

Milan has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sassuolo won against Milan?

Sassuolo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Sassuolo were as follows:

03.12.2024 Milan - Sassuolo 6:1

14.04.2024 Sassuolo - Milan 3:3

30.12.2023 Milan - Sassuolo 1:0

29.01.2023 Milan - Sassuolo 2:5

30.08.2022 Sassuolo - Milan 0:0

Latest results of Milan

08.12.2025 Torino - Milan 2:3 ✺

04.12.2025 Lazio - Milan 1:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 0:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Parma - Milan 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Sassuolo

06.12.2025 Sassuolo - Fiorentina 3:1 ✺

28.11.2025 Como - Sassuolo 2:0 ✺

24.11.2025 Sassuolo - Pisa 2:2 ✺

09.11.2025 Atalanta - Sassuolo 0:3 ✺

03.11.2025 Sassuolo - Genoa 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	32	24	3	5	75:29	46	75
2	Napoli	32	20	6	6	48:31	17	66
3	AC Milan	32	18	9	5	47:27	20	63
4	Juventus	32	17	9	6	55:29	26	60
5	Como	32	16	10	6	56:26	30	58
6	AS Roma	32	18	3	11	45:28	17	57
7	Atalanta	32	14	11	7	44:28	16	53
8	Bologna	32	14	6	12	42:37	5	48
9	Lazio	32	11	11	10	32:30	2	44
10	Udinese	32	12	7	13	38:42	-4	43
11	Sassuolo	32	12	6	14	39:43	-4	42
12	Torino	32	11	6	15	37:54	-17	39
13	Genoa	32	9	9	14	38:45	-7	36
14	Parma	32	8	12	12	23:40	-17	36
15	Fiorentina	32	8	11	13	37:44	-7	35
16	Cagliari	32	8	9	15	33:44	-11	33
17	Cremonese	32	6	9	17	26:47	-21	27
18	Lecce	32	7	6	19	21:45	-24	27
19	Verona	32	3	9	20	23:55	-32	18
20	Pisa	32	2	12	18	23:58	-35	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B