Result
5:3
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 32
- Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (372/435) | 89% (425/480) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 1.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (372/435) | 89% (425/480) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (24/49) | 48% (13/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (47/67) | 80% (121/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.95 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.43 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 15', Lauriente A. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Blin A. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Toljan J. (Own goal),
- 45+1', 3 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Mulattieri S. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
- 46', Volpato C. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
- 48', Magnani G. 🟨,
- 55', 4 - 0, Segre J. ⚽, Pohjanpalo J. (A),
- 61', Toljan J. 🟨,
- 62', Ghion A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
- 63', Lauriente A. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
- 70', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
- 73', 4 - 1, Pierini N. ⚽, Boloca D. (A),
- 74', 4 - 2, Moro L. ⚽, Lipani L. (A),
- 76', Segre J. 🟨,
- 79', Blin A. ↓, Verre V. ↑,
- 79', Segre J. ↓, Ranocchia F. ↑,
- 81', 5 - 2, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Ranocchia F. (A),
- 84', 5 - 3, Obiang P. ⚽, Pierini N. (A),
Chances of winning
Palermo
35% | Draw
28.3% | Sassuolo
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Palermo - Sassuolo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(2.65) |
3.31 ↓
(3.34) |
2.59 ↑
(2.54) |
6.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Soccer Plus
What is the prediction for Palermo - Sassuolo?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 35.2% – 92%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Sassuolo (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Palermo won 0.
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- Sassuolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Palermo: Gomis A.
(Injury)
Nikolaou D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sassuolo: Bonifazi K.
(Injury)
Mazzitelli L.
(Injury)
Skjellerup L.
(Injury)
Thorstvedt K.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Palermo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:11 (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Sassuolo?
Palermo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sassuolo won against Palermo?
Sassuolo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Sassuolo were as follows:
21.12.2024
Sassuolo
-
Palermo
2:1
Latest results of Palermo
Latest results of Sassuolo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 51:40 | 11 | 54 |
| 6 | Modena | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 44:29 | 15 | 51 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
