Saudi Arabia vs Iraq, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah).

World Cup - Qualification - Fourth stage - Round 3
Referee: Makhadmeh A. (Jor)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, Q Football Asia, TOD
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	RTHK TV 32
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, RCTI
Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Canal+
North-central-america	ESPN 3 North
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Canal 11
Qatar	Al Kass Six, Shoof
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Unbeaten
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
World	Onefootball, Sport 2 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.69	0.25
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
15	4
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
0	1
Passes
84% (423/502)	74% (227/307)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69	0.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.17	0.19
Total shots
15	4
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
8	0
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
8	2
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
0	1
Touches in opposition box
37	5
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
13	13
Passes
84% (423/502)	74% (227/307)
Long passes
48% (33/69)	31% (16/52)
Passes in final third
78% (153/196)	48% (34/71)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.80	0.14
Throw-ins
22	14
Fouls
13	13
Tackles
53% (10/19)	67% (14/21)
Duels won
69	46
Clearances
33	36
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.19	1.17
Goals prevented
0.19	1.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Doski M. 🟨,
27', Iqbal Z. 🟨,
39', Tambakti H. 🟨,
45+2', Al Dawsari N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yakob K. ↓, Jasim A. ↑,
55', Ali H. ↓, Putros F. ↑,
61', Iqbal Z. ↓, Sher A. ↑,
71', Yahya A. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
71', Abu Al Shamat S. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
79', Younis M. ↓, Hashim A. Y. ↑,
79', Amyn Y. ↓, Abdulkareem H. ↑,
80', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Al Amri A. ↑,
89', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Al Mousa S. ↑,
89', Al Buraikan F. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
90+5', Abdulhamid S. 🟨,
90+6', Boushal N. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yczy5hym

Chances of winning

Saudi Arabia
59.6%

Draw
25.4%

Iraq
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.1%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saudi Arabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saudi Arabia's performance.

Iraq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Saudi Arabia - Iraq Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.77)	3.74 ↑ (3.68)	6.19 ↑ (4.89)	5.2% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Saudi Arabia - Iraq?

Users Predictions: Saudi Arabia will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saudi Arabia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saudi Arabia won 2.
Iraq may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Saudi Arabia is considered a favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Saudi Arabia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Saudi Arabia won against Iraq?

Saudi Arabia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Iraq won against Saudi Arabia?

Iraq has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Saudi Arabia - Iraq were as follows:

28.12.2024 Iraq - Saudi Arabia 1:3

09.01.2023 Saudi Arabia - Iraq 0:2

Latest results of Saudi Arabia

08.10.2025 Indonesia - Saudi Arabia 2:3 ✺

08.09.2025 Czech Republic - Saudi Arabia 1:1 ✺

04.09.2025 Saudi Arabia - North Macedonia 2:1 ✺

22.06.2025 Saudi Arabia - Trinidad & Tobago 1:1 ✺

19.06.2025 Saudi Arabia - USA 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Iraq

11.10.2025 Iraq - Indonesia 1:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Thailand - Iraq 0:1 ✺

04.09.2025 Iraq - Hong Kong 2:1 ✺

10.06.2025 Jordan - Iraq 0:1 ✺

05.06.2025 Iraq - South Korea 0:2 ✺

FIFA World Cup Table

South America

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Argentina	18	12	2	4	31:10	21	38
2	Ecuador	18	8	8	2	14:5	9	29
3	Colombia	18	7	7	4	28:18	10	28
4	Uruguay	18	7	7	4	22:12	10	28
5	Brazil	18	8	4	6	24:17	7	28
6	Paraguay	18	7	7	4	14:10	4	28
7	Bolivia	18	6	2	10	17:35	-18	20
8	Venezuela	18	4	6	8	18:28	-10	18
9	Peru	18	2	6	10	6:21	-15	12
10	Chile	18	2	5	11	9:27	-18	11

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