Result
28/06/2025 at 22:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Australia | ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | OneSoccer, TLN, TSN 3, TSN 4, Univision Canada, VIVA |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
 New-zealand | ESPN |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Saudi-arabia | Aloula, KSA Sports 1 |
 Singapore | HUB Sports 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | Sky Sports Korea |
 Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Maincast |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Concacaf GO, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (476/543) | 80% (288/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (476/543) | 80% (288/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 30% (17/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (99/122) | 48% (37/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/24) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (16/25) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+8', Gallardo J. 🟨,
- 45+8', Majrashi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, Vega A. ⚽,
- 53', Al Amri A. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
- 60', Gallardo J. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
- 60', Jimenez R. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
- 69', Al Shehri S. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
- 69', Majrashi A. ↓, Al Sahafi M. ↑,
- 69', Al Oboud A. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
- 73', Vega A. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 73', Mora G. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
- 78', Al Johani Z. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 0, Madu A. (Own goal),
- 85', Alvarado R. ↓, Pineda O. ↑,
- 88', Al Hassan A. ↓, Al Ghamdi F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mexico
63.1% | Draw
23.5% | Saudi Arabia
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Saudi Arabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mexico than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saudi Arabia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Mexico - Saudi Arabia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.46) |
4.01 ↓
(4.18) |
7.05 ↓
(7.19) |
6.1%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mexico - Saudi Arabia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Saudi Arabia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mexico: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Mexico (votes: 2 - 50%). Saudi Arabia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Mexico is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Saudi Arabia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Mexico is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mexico won against Saudi Arabia?
Mexico has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saudi Arabia won against Mexico?
Saudi Arabia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mexico - Saudi Arabia were as follows:
30.11.2022
Saudi Arabia
-
Mexico
1:2
Latest results of Saudi Arabia
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | USA (D1) | Costa Rica (A2) | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Canada (B1) | Guatemala (C2) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mexico (A1) | Saudi Arabia (D2) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Panama (C1) | Honduras (B2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | USA (D1) | Guatemala (C2) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mexico (A1) | Honduras (B2) | 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | USA (D1) | Mexico (A1) | 1 : 2 |
