Result
1:3
15/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 26', 0 - 1, Nussbaumer D. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Scolaro M. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 2, Meola F. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 3, Checa ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Castrumfavara
15.8% | Draw
25.2% | Savoia
59% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrumfavara's form might have worsened.Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Savoia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrumfavara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Savoia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrumfavara - Savoia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.75 ↑
(4.2) |
3.61 ↑
(3.53) |
1.54 ↓
(1.72) |
10%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).
- Castrumfavara has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Savoia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Savoia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Savoia is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Savoia will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Savoia?
Castrumfavara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Savoia won against Castrumfavara?
Savoia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrumfavara - Savoia were as follows:
12.10.2025
Savoia
-
Castrumfavara
1:0
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 41:21 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Athletic Palermo | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46:29 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Reggina | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Nissa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 40 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 27:28 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Gela | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 35:34 | 1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sambiase | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 34:25 | 9 | 35 |
| 11 | Enna | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 41:39 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 26 |
| 14 | Sancataldese | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 32:44 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Castrumfavara | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Paterno | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 15:53 | -38 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
