Result
1:3
15/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 26', 0 - 1, Nussbaumer D. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Scolaro M. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 2, Meola F. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 3, Checa ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Castrumfavara
15.8% | Draw
25.2% | Savoia
59% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrumfavara's form might have worsened.Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Savoia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrumfavara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Savoia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrumfavara - Savoia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.75 ↑
(4.2) |
3.61 ↑
(3.53) |
1.54 ↓
(1.72) |
10%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).
- Castrumfavara has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Savoia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Savoia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Savoia is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Savoia will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Savoia?
Castrumfavara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Savoia won against Castrumfavara?
Savoia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrumfavara - Savoia were as follows:
12.10.2025
Savoia
-
Castrumfavara
1:0
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 54:28 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Nissa | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 60 |
| 3 | Reggina | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 34:19 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 54 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 51 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:27 | 18 | 49 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 | Gela | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | AS Acireale | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:41 | -14 | 31 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Paterno | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20:63 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
