Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 19
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 34', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 41', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', 🟥,
- 46', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 72', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+9', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lajense 32.7% | Draw 32.5% | SB Castelo Branco 34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lajense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Lajense - SB Castelo Branco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.75 ↑ (2.7) |
2.77 ↓ (3.1) |
2.6 ↑ (2.35) |
11% (11.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lajense - SB Castelo Branco?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Lajense (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lajense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- SB Castelo Branco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, SB Castelo Branco has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lajense won against SB Castelo Branco?
Lajense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Lajense?
SB Castelo Branco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lajense - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
05.10.2025
SB Castelo Branco
-
Lajense
2:2
Latest results of Lajense
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 29:8 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 41 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 29:11 | 18 | 37 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31:19 | 12 | 37 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Peniche | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 27 |
| 9 | Fatima | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 25 |
| 10 | Lajense | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 23 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14:28 | -14 | 17 |
| 13 | Electrico | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 27:53 | -26 | 16 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation