Lajense vs SB Castelo Branco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 19

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
94
Corner kicks
111
Red cards
01
Total shots
155
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
61
Corner kicks
111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 34', 0 - 1, ,
  • 41', 0 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 🟥,
  • 46', 1 - 2, ,
  • 72', 1 - 3, ,
  • 90+9', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Lajense
32.7%
Draw
32.5%
SB Castelo Branco
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 28.8% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 29.1% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lajense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Lajense - SB Castelo Branco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.7)
    2.77
    (3.1)
    2.6
    (2.35)
    11%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Lajense - SB Castelo Branco?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Lajense (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lajense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • SB Castelo Branco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, SB Castelo Branco has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lajense - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
    05.10.2025 SB Castelo Branco - Lajense 2:2
    Latest results of Lajense
    15.02.2026 Samora Correia - Lajense 2:0
    08.02.2026 Lajense - Eléctrico 4:1
    25.01.2026 Peniche - Lajense 2:2
    Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache21145229:82147
    2SB Castelo Branco21132638:191941
    3Naval 189322115630:22838
    4Oliveira Hospital21107429:111837
    5Uniao Da Serra21107431:191237
    6Mortagua2196620:20033
    7Os Marialvas2184928:26228
    8Peniche2176824:28-427
    9Fatima2167818:22-425
    10Lajense2258927:30-323
    11Marinhense2158815:27-1223
    12Samora Correia21451214:28-1417
    13Electrico22441427:53-2616
    14SC Lusitania22441420:37-1716

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation