Lajense vs SB Castelo Branco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 19

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
94
Corner kicks
111
Red cards
01
Total shots
155
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
61
Corner kicks
111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 34', 0 - 1, ,
  • 41', 0 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 🟥,
  • 46', 1 - 2, ,
  • 72', 1 - 3, ,
  • 90+9', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Lajense
32.7%
Draw
32.5%
SB Castelo Branco
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 28.8% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 29.1% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lajense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Lajense - SB Castelo Branco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.7)
    2.77
    (3.1)
    2.6
    (2.35)
    11%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Lajense - SB Castelo Branco?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Lajense (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lajense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • SB Castelo Branco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, SB Castelo Branco has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lajense - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
    05.10.2025 SB Castelo Branco - Lajense 2:2
    Latest results of Lajense
    15.02.2026 Samora Correia - Lajense 2:0
    08.02.2026 Lajense - Eléctrico 4:1
    25.01.2026 Peniche - Lajense 2:2
    Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache26167333:122155
    2Oliveira Hospital26148439:132650
    3Naval 189326146636:231348
    4SB Castelo Branco26144843:261746
    5Uniao Da Serra26128638:271144
    6Mortagua26116923:26-339
    7Os Marialvas261061033:28536
    8Fatima26881027:29-232
    9Lajense26881037:37032
    10Peniche26861234:43-930
    11Samora Correia26851327:35-829
    12Marinhense26591220:38-1824
    13Electrico26541733:62-2919
    14SC Lusitania26451724:48-2417

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation