SB Castelo Branco vs Sertanense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C SB Castelo Branco - Sertanense
Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 75', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


SB Castelo Branco
69.8%
Draw
20%
Sertanense
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 23.7% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 22.5% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SB Castelo Branco's performance.
  • Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sertanense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SB Castelo Branco that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sertanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • SB Castelo Branco - Sertanense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.5)
    4.63
    (3.75)
    9.03
    (5.25)
    8.2%
    (12.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • Sertanense is Relegated to
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SB Castelo Branco won 1.
    • Recent matches SB Castelo Branco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sertanense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match SB Castelo Branco is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches SB Castelo Branco won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:14 (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams SB Castelo Branco won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SB Castelo Branco - Sertanense were as follows:
    05.01.2025 Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco 0:0
    24.03.2024 SB Castelo Branco - Sertanense 1:1
    10.12.2023 Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco 1:2
    26.02.2023 Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco 1:1
    13.11.2022 SB Castelo Branco - Sertanense 1:1
    Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
    Latest results of Sertanense
    06.04.2025 Sertanense - Alcains 3:1
    29.03.2025 Os Marialvas - Sertanense 2:1
    02.03.2025 Sertanense - Elvas 0:0
    23.02.2025 Fatima - Sertanense 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1