Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 75', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
SB Castelo Branco 69.8% | Draw 20% | Sertanense 10.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SB Castelo Branco's performance.Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sertanense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SB Castelo Branco that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sertanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SB Castelo Branco - Sertanense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.33 ↓ (1.5) |
4.63 ↑ (3.75) |
9.03 ↑ (5.25) |
8.2% (12.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Sertanense is Relegated to
- Last 5 head-to-head matches SB Castelo Branco won 1.
- Recent matches SB Castelo Branco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sertanense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match SB Castelo Branco is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches SB Castelo Branco won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:14 (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams SB Castelo Branco won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Sertanense?
SB Castelo Branco has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sertanense won against SB Castelo Branco?
Sertanense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SB Castelo Branco - Sertanense were as follows:
05.01.2025
Sertanense
-
SB Castelo Branco
0:0
24.03.2024
SB Castelo Branco
-
Sertanense
1:1
10.12.2023
Sertanense
-
SB Castelo Branco
1:2
26.02.2023
Sertanense
-
SB Castelo Branco
1:1
13.11.2022
SB Castelo Branco
-
Sertanense
1:1
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Latest results of Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation