Covilhã vs SC Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Covilhã - SC Lusitânia
Result
1:2
16/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
86
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
199
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Joca 🟨,
  • 40', Filipe L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Dario Miranda , Gunjo J. ,
  • 58', Biai B. , Kaylan ,
  • 63', Cornelio D. , Salgado L. M. ,
  • 64', Paula G. , Fuller T. ,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Joca ,
  • 69', Ramalho D. 🟨,
  • 70', Derick 🟨,
  • 75', Filipe L. , Paulinho ,
  • 77', Mosquera D. 🟨,
  • 79', Jefinho , Isabelinha ,
  • 83', Joca , Isma ,
  • 84', Sidney C. , Kipanda D. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Duarte L. ,
  • 90', Konate M. 🟥,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Derick ,

Chances of winning


Covilhã
58.2%
Draw
23.9%
SC Lusitânia
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 28.2% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 28.1% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covilhã's performance.
  • SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covilhã that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Covilhã - SC Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.86)
    3.89
    (3.23)
    5.19
    (4.02)
    7.7%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Covilhã - SC Lusitânia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Covilhã is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches SC Lusitânia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently SC Lusitânia have a series of home games.
    • In this match Covilhã is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - SC Lusitânia were as follows:
    15.03.2025 SC Lusitânia - Covilhã 2:0
    15.01.2025 Covilhã - SC Lusitânia 0:0
    15.09.2024 SC Lusitânia - Covilhã 1:0
    Latest results of Covilhã
    Latest results of SC Lusitânia
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1Pacos FerreiraOs Belenenses2 : 0, 1 : 2