Covilhã vs SC Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Covilhã - SC Lusitânia
Result
1:2
16/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
86
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
199
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Joca 🟨,
  • 40', Filipe L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Dario Miranda , Gunjo J. ,
  • 58', Biai B. , Kaylan ,
  • 63', Cornelio D. , Salgado L. M. ,
  • 64', Paula G. , Fuller T. ,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Joca ,
  • 69', Ramalho D. 🟨,
  • 70', Derick 🟨,
  • 75', Filipe L. , Paulinho ,
  • 77', Mosquera D. 🟨,
  • 79', Jefinho , Isabelinha ,
  • 83', Joca , Isma ,
  • 84', Sidney C. , Kipanda D. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Duarte L. ,
  • 90', Konate M. 🟥,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Derick ,

Chances of winning


Covilhã
58.2%
Draw
23.9%
SC Lusitânia
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 28.2% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 28.1% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Covilhã's performance.
  • SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covilhã that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Covilhã - SC Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.86)
    3.89
    (3.23)
    5.19
    (4.02)
    7.7%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Covilhã - SC Lusitânia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Covilhã is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches SC Lusitânia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently SC Lusitânia have a series of home games.
    • In this match Covilhã is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - SC Lusitânia were as follows:
    15.03.2025 SC Lusitânia - Covilhã 2:0
    15.01.2025 Covilhã - SC Lusitânia 0:0
    15.09.2024 SC Lusitânia - Covilhã 1:0
    Latest results of Covilhã
    Latest results of SC Lusitânia
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sanjoanense725010:7311
    2Trofense632110:4611
    3Braga B62316:609
    4Varzim62319:549
    5AD Marco 0961503:218
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B71427:707
    7Amarante51225:6-15
    8Paredes60516:7-15
    9Sao Joao Ver60424:10-64
    10AD Fafe50323:9-63


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses63126:7-110
    31u00ba Dezembro52305:329
    4Academica53028:449
    5Santarem72234:7-38
    6Lusitano GC62138:627
    7Amora62135:6-17
    8Atletico CP62044:6-26
    9Mafra51314:6-26
    10Covilha50323:5-23

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