Moncarapachense vs SC Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group Moncarapachense - SC Lusitânia
Result
0:1
19/05/2024 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Moncarapachense
33.9%
Draw
28.6%
SC Lusitânia
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 28% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 27.4% 46%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moncarapachense's performance.
  • SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SC Lusitânia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moncarapachense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SC Lusitânia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Moncarapachense - SC Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (3.43)
    3.2
    (3.31)
    2.45
    (2.06)
    9%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Moncarapachense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches SC Lusitânia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • SC Lusitânia will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moncarapachense - SC Lusitânia were as follows:
    21.04.2024 SC Lusitânia - Moncarapachense 2:0
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Latest results of SC Lusitânia
    Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group Table
    2024/25

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B632114:11311
    2Paredes623110:739
    3AD Marco 0961326:7-16
    4Leca620410:15-56


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lusitano GC660015:41118
    2Amora62227:708
    3O Elvas CAD61236:11-55
    4Fatima61055:11-63

          Promotion ~ Liga 3