Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Holstein-Stadion (Kiel).

2. Bundesliga - Round 22
Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.35	3.23
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
10	22
Shots on target
4	9
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
9	6
Passes
67% (243/362)	65% (193/298)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.35	3.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.96	3.29
Total shots
10	22
Shots on target
4	9
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked shots
1	6
Shots inside the box
7	17
Shots outside the box
3	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
9	6
Touches in opposition box
20	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	4
Free kicks
12	19
Passes
67% (243/362)	65% (193/298)
Long passes
37% (27/73)	20% (11/55)
Passes in final third
51% (39/77)	52% (69/132)
Crosses
27% (6/22)	37% (10/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.46	1.87
Throw ins
28	26
Fouls
19	12
Tackles
50% (7/14)	62% (13/21)
Duels won
68	86
Clearances
43	40
Interceptions
8	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
7	2
xGOT faced
3.29	0.96
Goals prevented
1.29	-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Karaman K. ⚽, Dzeko E. (A),
29', 0 - 2, Kurucay H. ⚽, Dzeko E. (A),
40', Kelati A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Becker T. ↓, Ayhan M. ↑,
52', Kapralik A. 🟨,
55', 1 - 2, Zec D. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Kapralik A. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
62', Katic N. 🟨,
79', Ljubicic D. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
84', Rosenboom L. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
84', Ivezic M. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
84', Aouchiche A. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
85', Karaman K. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
86', Muller M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Holstein Kiel
30.8%

Draw
29.4%

Schalke 04
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.7%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

28.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.7)	3.19 ↓ (3.24)	2.38 ↓ (2.51)	6.3% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Schalke will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 30.4% – 86.2%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 3.
Recent form of Holstein Kiel has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Schalke has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Schalke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Skrzybski S. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Schalke: Becker V. (Knock) Gantenbein A. (Calf Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Tohumcu U. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Schalke 04?

Holstein Kiel has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Holstein Kiel?

Schalke 04 has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04 were as follows:

13.09.2025 Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel 0:1

11.02.2024 Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04 1:0

25.08.2023 Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel 0:2

Latest results of Holstein Kiel

08.02.2026 Hannover - Holstein Kiel 3:1 ✺

04.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart 0:3 ✺

31.01.2026 Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth 1:2 ✺

23.01.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel 2:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Holstein Kiel - Paderborn 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Schalke 04

07.02.2026 Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Bochum - Schalke 04 2:0 ✺

25.01.2026 Schalke 04 - Kaiserslautern 2:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04 0:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Osnabrück - Schalke 04 0:2 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	27	15	7	5	38:24	14	52
2	Elversberg	27	15	6	6	47:29	18	51
3	Paderborn	27	15	6	6	45:31	14	51
4	Darmstadt	27	13	11	3	49:30	19	50
5	Hannover	27	14	7	6	46:34	12	49
6	Hertha Berlin	27	12	8	7	42:33	9	44
7	Kaiserslautern	27	12	4	11	45:41	4	40
8	Karlsruher SC	27	10	7	10	43:51	-8	37
9	Nurnberg	27	10	6	11	37:37	0	36
10	Bochum	27	8	9	10	38:36	2	33
11	Dusseldorf	27	9	4	14	26:40	-14	31
12	SG Dynamo Dresden	27	7	8	12	45:46	-1	29
13	Braunschweig	27	8	5	14	29:44	-15	29
14	Greuther Furth	27	8	5	14	40:59	-19	29
15	Arminia Bielefeld	27	7	7	13	39:39	0	28
16	Holstein Kiel	27	7	7	13	34:42	-8	28
17	Magdeburg	27	8	3	16	39:50	-11	27
18	Preussen Munster	27	6	8	13	31:47	-16	26

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