Buffalo Bisons vs Scranton Wilkes-Barre RailRiders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5
21/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • IL - Second stage

Match Stats

Hits
45
Errors
00

Chances of winning


Buffalo Bisons
50%
Scranton Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 55.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Buffalo Bisons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Buffalo Bisons's performance.
  • Scranton Wilkes-Barre RailRiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scranton Wilkes-Barre RailRiders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Bisons than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buffalo Bisons that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scranton Wilkes-Barre RailRiders than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scranton Wilkes-Barre RailRiders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ IL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Buffalo has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Scranton WB has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 60:117. (average 3:5.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 41:73. (average 2.9:5.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Buffalo Bisons - Scranton Wilkes-Barre RailRiders were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Buffalo Bisons - Scranton Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 4:2
    19.09.2025 Buffalo Bisons - Scranton Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 2:10
    18.09.2025 Buffalo Bisons - Scranton Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 2:0
    17.09.2025 Buffalo Bisons - Scranton Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 1:6
    16.09.2025 Buffalo Bisons - Scranton Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 1:3
    Draw
    Super final

    Final
    1Jacksonville Jumbo ShrimpLas Vegas Aviators8 : 7