Result
0:2
22/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 6
- Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (230/320) | 74% (281/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (230/320) | 74% (281/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (32/64) | 49% (36/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (69/111) | 63% (63/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.15 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Cano L. ⚽, Miranda B. (A),
- 17', Ciccioli U. 🟨,
- 40', Quintero S. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cuero Palacio J. R. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
- 68', Angulo J. ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
- 75', Cano L. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 76', Miranda B. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
- 86', Garces R. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
- 86', Barco A. ↓, Caicedo L. ↑,
- 87', Quinonez R. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
- 87', Ciccioli U. ↓, Patino D. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 2, Montenegro B. ⚽, Almagro A. (A),
- 90+7', Montenegro B. ↓, Serpa T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Emelec
42.5% | Draw
27.5% | SD Aucas
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Emelec - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.21) |
3.36 ↓
(3.43) |
3.1 ↑
(2.82) |
7.4%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Emelec - SD Aucas?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Aucas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Aucas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Emelec is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against SD Aucas?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Emelec?
SD Aucas has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - SD Aucas were as follows:
19.10.2025
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
0:0
30.08.2025
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
1:2
11.05.2025
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:1
06.10.2024
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:0
19.04.2024
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
3:1
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Delfin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Libertad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aucas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Mushuc Runa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | U. Catolica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Emelec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Orense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Manta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Guayaquil City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
