SD Aucas vs Emelec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro SD Aucas - Emelec
Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 27
  • Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.06
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
3010
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
85% (339/397)75% (205/275)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.941.47
Total shots
3010
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
144
Blocked Shots
101
Shots inside the Box
176
Shots outside the Box
133
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
95
Passes
85% (339/397)75% (205/275)
Long passes
51% (20/39)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
72% (81/112)60% (55/91)
Crosses
35% (13/37)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.57
Throw-ins
2420
Fouls
610
Tackles
69% (9/13)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4133
Clearances
1735
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.470.94
Goals prevented
-0.53-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 57', 0 - 1, Ruiz J. , Caicedo R. (A),
  • 65', Almagro A. , Montenegro B. ,
  • 65', Ciccioli U. , Ontaneda J. ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Solis M. , Gonzalez A. (A),
  • 68', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 69', Gonzalez A. , Cevallos J. ,
  • 70', Castillo Saa J. L. , Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. ,
  • 73', Miranda B. , Zambrano C. ,
  • 77', Solis M. , Cueva C. ,
  • 78', Ayovi J. , Cuero Palacio J. R. ,
  • 80', Barco A. 🟨,
  • 89', Ruiz J. , Borja R. ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Mina A. , Ontaneda J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


SD Aucas
54.9%
Draw
26.9%
Emelec
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 25.8% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 27.5% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • SD Aucas - Emelec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.75)
    3.42
    (3.62)
    5.04
    (4.49)
    8.2%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Emelec?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Emelec will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 3.
    • Recent performances by Aucas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Emelec is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Emelec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Aucas has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Aucas is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Emelec were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:1
    06.10.2024 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:0
    19.04.2024 SD Aucas - Emelec 3:1
    02.09.2023 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:0
    09.04.2023 SD Aucas - Emelec 2:1
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    Latest results of Emelec
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle ✔ 301810255:233264
    2Barcelona SC ✔ 30166846:331354
    3LDU Quito ✔ 30149748:311751
    4U. Catolica301310758:391949
    5Orense30138934:32247
    6Libertad301210842:36646
    7Dep. Cuenca301371035:29646
    8Emelec ✔ 301191030:34-442
    9Aucas ✔ 301181138:41-341
    10Macara ✔ 309111032:30238
    11EL Nacional ✔ 30971432:46-1434
    12Delfin306131126:42-1631
    13Tecnico U30771626:46-2028
    14Vinotinto30761734:43-927
    15Mushuc Runa ✔ 30761738:50-1227
    16Manta ✔ 305111434:53-1926

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )