Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 27
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (339/397) | 75% (205/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (339/397) | 75% (205/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (81/112) | 60% (55/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (13/37) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 57', 0 - 1, Ruiz J. ⚽, Caicedo R. (A),
- 65', Almagro A. ↓, Montenegro B. ↑,
- 65', Ciccioli U. ↓, Ontaneda J. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, Solis M. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
- 68', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 69', Gonzalez A. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
- 70', Castillo Saa J. L. ↓, Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. ↑,
- 73', Miranda B. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 77', Solis M. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
- 78', Ayovi J. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
- 80', Barco A. 🟨,
- 89', Ruiz J. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Mina A. ⚽, Ontaneda J. (A),
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
54.9% | Draw
26.9% | Emelec
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
SD Aucas - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.75) |
3.42 ↓
(3.62) |
5.04 ↑
(4.49) |
8.2%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Emelec will win (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 3.
- Recent performances by Aucas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Emelec is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Emelec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Aucas has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Aucas is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Emelec?
SD Aucas has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against SD Aucas?
Emelec has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Emelec were as follows:
11.05.2025
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:1
06.10.2024
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:0
19.04.2024
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
3:1
02.09.2023
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:0
09.04.2023
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
2:1
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
