Result
12/04/2026 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
49.4% | Draw
27.1% | Emelec
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+3%)
SD Aucas - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.03) |
3.41 ↓
(3.48) |
3.91 ↑
(3.43) |
8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Aucas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Aucas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Emelec?
SD Aucas has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against SD Aucas?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Emelec were as follows:
22.11.2025
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:2
19.10.2025
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
0:0
30.08.2025
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
1:2
11.05.2025
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:1
06.10.2024
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:0
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Tecnico U | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Macara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Libertad | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Aucas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Delfin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Leones del Norte | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Emelec | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Orense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
