SD Aucas vs Emelec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro SD Aucas - Emelec
Result
0:0
19/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 2
  • Referee: Angulo Tenorio L. D. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.88
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
86% (381/443)74% (220/299)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.260.07
Total shots
149
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
615
Passes
86% (381/443)74% (220/299)
Long passes
48% (21/44)32% (18/57)
Passes in final third
72% (82/114)64% (57/89)
Crosses
33% (8/24)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.00
Throw-ins
2621
Fouls
156
Tackles
50% (7/14)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4237
Clearances
2924
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.070.26
Goals prevented
0.070.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ayovi J. , Cuero Palacio J. R. ,
  • 46', Munoz E. , Corozo W. ,
  • 53', Quinonez R. , Pepinos E. ,
  • 60', Ciccioli U. , Miranda B. ,
  • 80', Solis M. , Cueva C. ,
  • 80', Quintero S. , Barco A. ,
  • 80', Cano L. , Uchuari J. ,
  • 80', Mina A. , Jaramilo R. ,
  • 80', Spina A. L. , Sanabria M. ,

Chances of winning


SD Aucas
49.6%
Draw
28.2%
Emelec
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 28.5% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 28.2% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Aucas's performance.
  • Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Aucas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • SD Aucas - Emelec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.25)
    3.33
    (3.23)
    4.17
    (2.99)
    6.7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Emelec?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: SD Aucas will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 2.
    • Aucas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Emelec is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Aucas is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Emelec were as follows:
    30.08.2025 SD Aucas - Emelec 1:2
    11.05.2025 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:1
    06.10.2024 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:0
    19.04.2024 SD Aucas - Emelec 3:1
    02.09.2023 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:0
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    21.09.2025 SD Aucas - Orense 0:0
    15.09.2025 Manta - SD Aucas 1:1
    Latest results of Emelec
    08.10.2025 Leones del Norte - Emelec 0:1
    04.10.2025 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 3:1
    28.09.2025 Orense - Emelec 0:0
    21.09.2025 Emelec - El Nacional 4:0
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca311371136:32446
    8Emelec3212101033:35-246
    9Macara3211111039:32744
    10Aucas321191240:44-442
    11EL Nacional31981434:48-1435
    12Delfin326141228:48-2032

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