Result
0:1
11/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 12
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (454/538) | 83% (315/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (454/538) | 83% (315/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (34/54) | 61% (40/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (91/127) | 75% (77/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Castelli F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. ↓, Mina K. ↑,
- 46', Vazquez J. ↓, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↑,
- 46', Munoz E. ↓, Chamba T. ↑,
- 47', Mina J. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
- 69', Montenegro B. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 69', Mina A. ↓, Serpa T. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 1, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ⚽, Zambrano C. (A),
- 73', Garces R. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
- 77', Quinonez J. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
- 81', Serpa T. ↓, Quinonez R. ↑,
- 85', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
- 90+3', Quinonez R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emelec
36.5% | Draw
30.2% | SD Aucas
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emelec's form might have worsened.SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SD Aucas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emelec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Emelec - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.15) |
3.08 ↓
(3.25) |
2.81 ↓
(3.45) |
7.7%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 0.
- Emelec has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aucas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against SD Aucas?
Emelec has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Emelec?
SD Aucas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - SD Aucas were as follows:
06.10.2024
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:0
19.04.2024
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
3:1
02.09.2023
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:0
09.04.2023
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
2:1
11.09.2022
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
1:1
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 4 | Aucas | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Orense | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Libertad | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 35 |
| 9 | Emelec | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | Delfin | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Tecnico U | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Vinotinto | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Macara | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Manta | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
