Result
0:0
19/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 2
- Referee: Angulo Tenorio L. D. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 0.88 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
86% (381/443) | 74% (220/299) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 0.88 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.26 | 0.07 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
86% (381/443) | 74% (220/299) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (21/44) | 32% (18/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (82/114) | 64% (57/89) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (8/24) | 12% (2/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.65 | 1.00 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (7/14) | 76% (13/17) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.07 | 0.26 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.07 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ayovi J. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
- 46', Munoz E. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
- 53', Quinonez R. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
- 60', Ciccioli U. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
- 80', Solis M. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
- 80', Quintero S. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
- 80', Cano L. ↓, Uchuari J. ↑,
- 80', Mina A. ↓, Jaramilo R. ↑,
- 80', Spina A. L. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas 49.6% | Draw 28.2% | Emelec 22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Aucas's performance.Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Aucas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SD Aucas - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↓ (2.25) |
3.33 ↑ (3.23) |
4.17 ↑ (2.99) |
6.7% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Emelec?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
SD Aucas will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 2.
- Aucas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Emelec is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Aucas is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Emelec?
SD Aucas has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against SD Aucas?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Emelec were as follows:
30.08.2025
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
1:2
11.05.2025
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:1
06.10.2024
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:0
19.04.2024
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
3:1
02.09.2023
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:0
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
9 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
10 | Aucas | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 42 |
11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )