Result
0:0
19/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 2
- Referee: Angulo Tenorio L. D. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (381/443) | 74% (220/299) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (381/443) | 74% (220/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 32% (18/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (82/114) | 64% (57/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ayovi J. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
- 46', Munoz E. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
- 53', Quinonez R. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
- 60', Ciccioli U. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
- 80', Solis M. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
- 80', Quintero S. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
- 80', Cano L. ↓, Uchuari J. ↑,
- 80', Mina A. ↓, Jaramilo R. ↑,
- 80', Spina A. L. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
49.6% | Draw
28.2% | Emelec
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Aucas's performance.Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Aucas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SD Aucas - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.25) |
3.33 ↑
(3.23) |
4.17 ↑
(2.99) |
6.7%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Emelec?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
SD Aucas will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 2.
- Aucas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Emelec is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Aucas is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Emelec?
SD Aucas has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against SD Aucas?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Emelec were as follows:
30.08.2025
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
1:2
11.05.2025
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:1
06.10.2024
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:0
19.04.2024
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
3:1
02.09.2023
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:0
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Aucas | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
