Result
0:1
11/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 12
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.37 | 1.09 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
84% (454/538) | 83% (315/379) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.37 | 1.09 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.21 | 2.02 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
4 | 3 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
84% (454/538) | 83% (315/379) |
Long passes |
---|
63% (34/54) | 61% (40/66) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (91/127) | 75% (77/103) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (3/16) | 6% (1/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.73 | 1.37 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
68% (15/22) | 61% (14/23) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.02 | 0.21 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.02 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Castelli F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. ↓, Mina K. ↑,
- 46', Vazquez J. ↓, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↑,
- 46', Munoz E. ↓, Chamba T. ↑,
- 47', Mina J. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
- 69', Montenegro B. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 69', Mina A. ↓, Serpa T. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 1, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ⚽, Zambrano C. (A),
- 73', Garces R. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
- 77', Quinonez J. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
- 81', Serpa T. ↓, Quinonez R. ↑,
- 85', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
- 90+3', Quinonez R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emelec 36.5% | Draw 30.2% | SD Aucas 33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emelec's form might have worsened.SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SD Aucas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emelec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Emelec - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.52 ↑ (2.15) |
3.08 ↓ (3.25) |
2.81 ↓ (3.45) |
7.7% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 0.
- Emelec has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aucas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against SD Aucas?
Emelec has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Emelec?
SD Aucas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - SD Aucas were as follows:
06.10.2024
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:0
19.04.2024
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
3:1
02.09.2023
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:0
09.04.2023
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
2:1
11.09.2022
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
1:1
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )