Result
2:0
12/04/2026 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 8
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (487/522) | 82% (209/254) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (487/522) | 82% (209/254) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 90% (27/30) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 93% (212/228) | 62% (42/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (13/28) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Guzman P. 🟨,
- 6', Napoli G. 🟥,
- 13', Arroyo L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Sosa A. ↓, Preciado E. ↑,
- 52', Zova A. 🟨,
- 62', Herrera O. ↓, Bolanos M. ↑,
- 63', Neris J. ↓, Klimowicz L. ↑,
- 69', Mena A. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
- 69', Arroyo L. ↓, Quinonez R. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Quinonez R. ⚽, Spina A. L. (A),
- 73', Pizzini F. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 0, Miranda B. ⚽, Morales S. (A),
- 83', Miranda B. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
- 83', Mina A. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
- 84', Guerrico I. ↓, Viteri A. ↑,
- 89', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Tapiero S. ↓, Espinosa D. S. ↑,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
50.8% | Draw
28% | Emelec
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SD Aucas - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.03) |
3.3 ↓
(3.48) |
4.36 ↑
(3.43) |
7.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Aucas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aucas is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Emelec?
SD Aucas has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against SD Aucas?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Emelec were as follows:
22.11.2025
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:2
19.10.2025
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
0:0
30.08.2025
SD Aucas
-
Emelec
1:2
11.05.2025
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:1
06.10.2024
Emelec
-
SD Aucas
0:0
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Aucas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Macara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Orense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Libertad | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3:13 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
