Result
1:1
15/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 16
- Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (214/292) | 82% (341/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (214/292) | 82% (341/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (29/72) | 58% (42/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (46/90) | 70% (74/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 30', Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↓, Gruezo E. ↑,
- 41', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Blanco J. ⚽, Andrade J. (A),
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Montenegro B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Cristobal R. 🟨,
- 64', Quinonez R. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
- 64', Cano L. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
- 75', Mina A. 🟨,
- 83', Torres E. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 83', Castillo J. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
- 83', Montenegro B. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Técnico Universitario
33.1% | Draw
29.5% | SD Aucas
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Técnico Universitario's performance.SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Técnico Universitario that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Aucas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↓
(3.46) |
3.12 ↑
(3) |
2.46 ↑
(2.2) |
8.6%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2.
- Técnico Univ is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Aucas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Técnico Univ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against SD Aucas?
Técnico Universitario has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Técnico Universitario?
SD Aucas has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas were as follows:
15.02.2025
SD Aucas
-
Técnico Universitario
4:1
12.08.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
SD Aucas
2:0
10.03.2024
SD Aucas
-
Técnico Universitario
3:1
17.09.2023
SD Aucas
-
Técnico Universitario
2:4
15.04.2023
Técnico Universitario
-
SD Aucas
0:1
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
