Result
0:1
19/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 5
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (517/581) | 82% (216/265) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (517/581) | 82% (216/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (26/38) | 51% (22/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (164/209) | 56% (23/41) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/32) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Porozo S. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,
- 58', Guzman P. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Castano M. ⚽,
- 69', Estupinan L. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
- 69', Vera M. ↓, Japa E. ↑,
- 72', Miranda B. 🟨,
- 73', Castano M. 🟨,
- 79', Mena A. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
- 82', Montes J. 🟨,
- 82', Montes J. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 82', Perea M. ↓, Arce K. ↑,
- 86', Castano M. ↓, Copete A. ↑,
- 86', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Chaves M. ↑,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
49.2% | Draw
29.3% | Técnico Universitario
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.95) |
3.15 ↓
(3.31) |
4.29 ↑
(3.93) |
8.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Técnico Univ (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Técnico Univ (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Técnico Univ (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Técnico Univ (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
SD Aucas will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): SD Aucas will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Técnico Univ (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 3.
- Recent form of Aucas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Técnico Univ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Aucas is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Técnico Universitario?
SD Aucas has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against SD Aucas?
Técnico Universitario has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario were as follows:
08.02.2026
SD Aucas
-
Técnico Universitario
1:0
15.06.2025
Técnico Universitario
-
SD Aucas
1:1
15.02.2025
SD Aucas
-
Técnico Universitario
4:1
12.08.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
SD Aucas
2:0
10.03.2024
SD Aucas
-
Técnico Universitario
3:1
Latest results of SD Aucas
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Tecnico U | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Macara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Libertad | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Aucas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Delfin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Leones del Norte | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Emelec | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Orense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
