Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:27
05/03/2026 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MLB - Spring Training

Match Stats

Hits
928
Errors
20
2B - double
09
3B - triple
10
Home runs
48
Runs batted in
627
Left on base
109
Base on balls
75
Strikeouts
1112
Stolen bases
21
At bat
3557
Batting average
0.2570.491

Chances of winning


Seattle Mariners
48%
San Diego Padres
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 45.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Seattle Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seattle Mariners's form might have worsened.
  • San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Diego Padres's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Mariners than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seattle Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Diego Padres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.72)

    1.84
    (2.13)
    4.6%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 12.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:7.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 3.
    • Seattle is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, San Diego has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Seattle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Seattle might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 95:88. (average 4.8:4.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:43. (average 5.4:5.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres were as follows:
    28.02.2026 San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners 7:1
    20.02.2026 Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres 7:4
    27.08.2025 Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres 4:3
    26.08.2025 Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres 6:7
    25.08.2025 Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres 9:6
    Latest results of San Diego Padres
    MLB Spring Training Table
    2026

    Grapefruit
    PlWDLPCT
    1Atlanta Braves15102387:620.769
    2Pittsburgh Pirates16110593:700.688
    3New York Yankees15100590:600.667
    4Washington Nationals1583462:550.667
    5St.Louis Cardinals1481563:580.615
    6New York Mets1371559:450.583
    7Baltimore Orioles1672762:770.500
    8Boston Red Sox1570887:1050.467
    9Miami Marlins1461748:640.462
    10Toronto Blue Jays1662878:730.429
    11Tampa Bay Rays16601060:720.375
    12Philadelphia Phillies1551974:770.357
    13Houston Astros1543849:570.333
    14Minnesota Twins15411069:910.286
    15Detroit Tigers1433868:830.273


    Cactus
    PlWDLPCT
    1San Francisco Giants151302112:670.867
    2Los Angeles Dodgers161006109:870.625
    3Chicago White Sox17100792:690.588
    4Colorado Rockies1581698:940.571
    5Milwaukee Brewers1580787:730.533
    6San Diego Padres16808105:790.500
    7Cleveland Guardians17818100:890.500
    8Texas Rangers1680888:810.500
    9Cincinnati Reds1470797:1090.500
    10Chicago Cubs1670970:880.438
    11Arizona Diamondbacks1670983:1090.438
    12Kansas City Royals1561890:880.429
    13Los Angeles Angels18701182:1190.389
    14Athletics16601082:1000.375
    15Seattle Mariners16411183:1260.267