Result
0:2
13/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 69% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 66% (37/56) | 70% (32/46) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 71% (15/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 71% (5/7) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 30% (14/46) | 34% (19/56) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 63% (24/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 31% (4/13) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 9 | 28 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 35 | 32 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 89% (17/19) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (51/94) | 70% (47/67) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (20/67) | 46% (43/94) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (71/161) | 56% (90/161) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 80% (8/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 40% (4/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 60% (12/20) |
Chances of winning
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
35.4% | Sebastian Baez
64.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Baez's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Sebastian Baez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.1) |
|
1.47 ↓
(1.73) |
4.8%
(5.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Sebastian Baez?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Baez will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 47. Baez is ranked ATP: 34.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 1.
- Ugo Carabelli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Baez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Baez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Baez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Sebastian Baez?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Sebastian Baez has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Sebastian Baez were as follows:
26.06.2025
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
-
Sebastian Baez
1:2
20.05.2025
Sebastian Baez
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
1:2
01.03.2025
Sebastian Baez
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2:1
22.02.2025
Sebastian Baez
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2:1
11.02.2025
Sebastian Baez
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2:0
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Dzumhur D. | Dellien H. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Barrena A. (WC) | Kopriva V. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Coria F. (WC) | Berrettini M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Fonseca J. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Diaz Acosta F. (WC) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Burruchaga R. A. | Djere L. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Etcheverry T. M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Ugo Carabelli C. (6) | Comesana F. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Navone M. | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Buse I. | Passaro F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Baez S. (4) | |
| 13 | Altmaier D. (5) | Cerundolo J. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Midon L. (Q) | Martinez P. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Barrios Vera T. | Seyboth Wild T. (RET.) (LL) | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Dellien H. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kopriva V. | Berrettini M. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Fonseca J. (3) | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Burruchaga R. A. | Etcheverry T. M. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (6) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Buse I. | Baez S. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cerundolo J. M. | Martinez P. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Barrios Vera T. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Tabilo A. | Etcheverry T. M. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ugo Carabelli C. (6) | Baez S. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Martinez P. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Baez S. (4) | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Darderi L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
