Sebastian Baez vs Flavio Cobolli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
06/04/2025 at 08:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
84%48%
1st Serve Points Won
53% (33/62)76% (25/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
75% (9/12)44% (16/36)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
24% (8/33)47% (29/62)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (20/36)25% (3/12)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)36% (4/11)
Winners
1814
Unforced Errors
3237
Net Points Won
86% (6/7)65% (11/17)
Service Points Won
57% (42/74)59% (41/69)
Return Points Won
41% (28/69)43% (32/74)
Total Points Won
49% (70/143)51% (73/143)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
60
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
61.5%
Flavio Cobolli
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flavio Cobolli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sebastian Baez - Flavio Cobolli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.46)

    2.45
    (2.67)
    6%
    (5.9%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Flavio Cobolli?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 24 - 92.3%). Cobolli will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 82.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Baez will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Baez is ranked ATP: 36. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 45.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Baez will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Latest results of Flavio Cobolli
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Diallo G. (1)Bye
    2Molcan A. (Q)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    3Boitan G. A. (WC)Moller E.0 : 2
    4O'Connell C. (Alt)Navone M. (7)0 : 2
    5Borges N. (4)Bye
    6Dzumhur D.Jianu F. C. (WC)2 : 1
    7Shevchenko A.Turcanu R. D. (WC)2 : 0
    8Maestrelli F.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    9Altmaier D. (6)Martinez P.2 : 0
    10Basilashvili N. (Q)Prizmic D.0 : 2
    11Sakellaridis S. (Q)Choinski J.2 : 0
    12ByeMarozsan F. (3)
    13Baez S. (5)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    14Bautista-Agut R.Droguet T.1 : 2
    15Virtanen O. (Alt)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    16ByeMannarino A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Diallo G. (1)Molcan A.0 : 2
    2Moller E.Navone M. (7)0 : 2
    3Borges N. (4)Dzumhur D.0 : 2
    4Shevchenko A.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    5Altmaier D. (6)Prizmic D.2 : 1
    6Sakellaridis S.Marozsan F. (3)0 : 2
    7Baez S. (5)Droguet T.0 : 2
    8Merida Aguilar D.Mannarino A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Molcan A.Navone M. (7)1 : 2
    2Dzumhur D.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    3Altmaier D. (6)Marozsan F. (3)0 : 2
    4Droguet T. (RET.)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Navone M. (7)Van De Zandschulp B. (8)2 : 1
    2Marozsan F. (3)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 2

    Final
    1Navone M. (7)Merida Aguilar D.2 : 1