Sebastian Baez vs Flavio Cobolli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Bucharest Sebastian Baez - Flavio Cobolli
Result
0:2
06/04/2025 at 08:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
84%48%
1st Serve Points Won
53% (33/62)76% (25/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
75% (9/12)44% (16/36)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
24% (8/33)47% (29/62)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (20/36)25% (3/12)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)36% (4/11)
Winners
1814
Unforced Errors
3237
Net Points Won
86% (6/7)65% (11/17)
Service Points Won
57% (42/74)59% (41/69)
Return Points Won
41% (28/69)43% (32/74)
Total Points Won
49% (70/143)51% (73/143)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
60
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
61.5%
Flavio Cobolli
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flavio Cobolli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sebastian Baez - Flavio Cobolli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.46)

    2.45
    (2.67)
    6%
    (5.9%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Flavio Cobolli?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 24 - 92.3%). Cobolli will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 82.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Baez will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Baez is ranked ATP: 36. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 45.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Baez will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Latest results of Flavio Cobolli
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Baez S. (1)Bye
    2Diallo G.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    3Klizan M. (Q)Comesana F.1 : 2
    4Bu Y.Bautista-Agut R. (5)1 : 2
    5Jarry N. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    7Nardi L.Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    8Djere L.Navone M. (7)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (8)Albot R.2 : 0
    10Shevchenko A.Misolic F. (Q)0 : 2
    11Van De Zandschulp B.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    12ByeCobolli F. (3)
    13Vacherot V. (Q)Dzumhur D.0 : 2
    14Basavareddy N.Jianu F. C. (WC)0 : 2
    15Wawrinka S. (WC)Skatov T. (Q)2 : 1
    16ByeMartinez P. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Baez S. (1)Diallo G.2 : 1
    2Comesana F.Bautista-Agut R. (5)2 : 1
    3Jarry N. (4)O'Connell C.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M.Navone M. (7)2 : 1
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (8)Misolic F.0 : 2
    6Gasquet R.Cobolli F. (3)1 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Jianu F. C.2 : 1
    8Wawrinka S.Martinez P. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Baez S. (1)Comesana F.2 : 1
    2O'Connell C.Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    3Misolic F.Cobolli F. (3)0 : 2
    4Dzumhur D.Martinez P. (RET.) (2)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Baez S. (1)Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    2Cobolli F. (3)Dzumhur D.2 : 0

    Final
    1Baez S. (1)Cobolli F. (3)0 : 2