Result
0:2
14/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 72% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 84% (27/32) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 79% (15/19) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 19% (6/32) | 43% (20/47) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 39% (7/18) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 75% (3/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 83% (5/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (38/65) | 82% (42/51) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 18% (9/51) | 42% (27/65) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (47/116) | 59% (69/116) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 30% (3/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Baez
41.5% | Luciano Darderi
58.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.3) |
|
1.63 ↑
(1.62) |
5.1%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Darderi will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Baez (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Darderi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Baez is ranked ATP: 34. Darderi is ranked ATP: 22.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baez won 3.
- In recent matches, Baez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Darderi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Darderi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Darderi will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Baez won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Luciano Darderi?
Sebastian Baez has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luciano Darderi won against Sebastian Baez?
Luciano Darderi has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
21.01.2026
Sebastian Baez
-
Luciano Darderi
1:3
18.07.2025
Sebastian Baez
-
Luciano Darderi
0:2
26.08.2024
Sebastian Baez
-
Luciano Darderi
3:1
19.07.2024
Luciano Darderi
-
Sebastian Baez
1:2
15.02.2024
Sebastian Baez
-
Luciano Darderi
2:0
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Latest results of Luciano Darderi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Dzumhur D. | Dellien H. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Barrena A. (WC) | Kopriva V. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Coria F. (WC) | Berrettini M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Fonseca J. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Diaz Acosta F. (WC) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Burruchaga R. A. | Djere L. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Etcheverry T. M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Ugo Carabelli C. (6) | Comesana F. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Navone M. | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Buse I. | Passaro F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Baez S. (4) | |
| 13 | Altmaier D. (5) | Cerundolo J. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Midon L. (Q) | Martinez P. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Barrios Vera T. | Seyboth Wild T. (RET.) (LL) | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Dellien H. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kopriva V. | Berrettini M. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Fonseca J. (3) | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Burruchaga R. A. | Etcheverry T. M. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (6) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Buse I. | Baez S. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cerundolo J. M. | Martinez P. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Barrios Vera T. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Tabilo A. | Etcheverry T. M. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ugo Carabelli C. (6) | Baez S. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Martinez P. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Baez S. (4) | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Darderi L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
