Result
0:2
28/02/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 46% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 65% (20/31) | 71% (22/31) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 49% (18/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 67% (4/6) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 29% (9/31) | 35% (11/31) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 51% (19/37) | 55% (11/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 57% (4/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 63% (5/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (29/51) | 59% (41/70) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (29/70) | 43% (22/51) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (58/121) | 52% (63/121) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 80% (8/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 44% (4/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Baez
36.1% | Luciano Darderi
63.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.37) |
|
1.51 ↓
(1.58) |
2.4%
(5.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Darderi will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 79.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luciano Darderi will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Baez is ranked ATP: 52. Darderi is ranked ATP: 21.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baez won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Darderi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Baez won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Luciano Darderi?
Sebastian Baez has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luciano Darderi won against Sebastian Baez?
Luciano Darderi has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
14.02.2026
Sebastian Baez
-
Luciano Darderi
0:2
21.01.2026
Sebastian Baez
-
Luciano Darderi
1:3
18.07.2025
Sebastian Baez
-
Luciano Darderi
0:2
26.08.2024
Sebastian Baez
-
Luciano Darderi
3:1
19.07.2024
Luciano Darderi
-
Sebastian Baez
1:2
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Latest results of Luciano Darderi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Moller E. | Burruchaga R. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Passaro F. (RET.) (WC) | Vallejo D. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Nava E. | Berrettini M. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Jarry N. (WC) | Prizmic D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Soto M. (WC) | Gaubas V. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tabilo A. (8) | Barrios Vera T. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Tirante T. A. | Buse I. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Cerundolo J. M. | Garin C. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Baez S. (3) | |
| 13 | Comesana F. (7) | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Barrena A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Navone M. | Kopriva V. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Moller E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vallejo D. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ugo Carabelli C. (4) | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Prizmic D. | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Tabilo A. (8) | Tirante T. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Garin C. | Baez S. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Comesana F. (7) | Pellegrino A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Navone M. | Darderi L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. | Gaubas V. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. (8) | Baez S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Pellegrino A. | Darderi L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Baez S. (3) | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Hanfmann Y. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
