Result
0:2
18/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 73% | 50% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (18/37) | 89% (17/19) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 63% (12/19) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 51% (19/37) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 71% (10/14) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 63% (5/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 100% (2/2) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 76% (29/38) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (9/38) | 57% (29/51) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (31/89) | 65% (58/89) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 100% (7/7) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 71% (5/7) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 86% (12/14) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Baez
44.3% | Luciano Darderi
55.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.73) |
|
1.72 ↓
(2.1) |
5%
(5.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Darderi will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 62.1% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luciano Darderi will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Baez is ranked ATP: 37. Darderi is ranked ATP: 55.
- In recent matches, Baez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Darderi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Baez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- We predict that Darderi will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baez won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Luciano Darderi?
Sebastian Baez has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luciano Darderi won against Sebastian Baez?
Luciano Darderi has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
26.08.2024
Sebastian Baez
-
Luciano Darderi
3:1
19.07.2024
Luciano Darderi
-
Sebastian Baez
1:2
15.02.2024
Sebastian Baez
-
Luciano Darderi
2:0
10.02.2024
Luciano Darderi
-
Sebastian Baez
2:1
08.02.2023
Sebastian Baez
-
Luciano Darderi
2:0
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Latest results of Luciano Darderi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Barrios Vera T. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gaston H. | Tseng C. H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Dzumhur D. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Baez S. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Monteiro T. (Q) | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Ymer E. (WC) | Boyer T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Collignon R. | Darderi L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Garin C. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ymer M. (WC) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Misolic F. (Q) | Moller E. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Borges N. (3) | |
| 13 | Kopriva V. (8) | Dellien H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Faria J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Griekspoor T. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gaston H. | Dzumhur D. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Baez S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Ymer E. | Darderi L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Misolic F. | Borges N. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kopriva V. (8) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Pellegrino A. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Dzumhur D. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Baez S. (4) | Darderi L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Misolic F. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | De Jong J. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Darderi L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Darderi L. (6) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
