Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
19/02/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
69%64%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (38/61)59% (29/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (11/27)56% (15/27)
Break Points Saved
67% (10/15)58% (7/12)
1st Return Points Won
41% (20/49)38% (23/61)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (12/27)59% (16/27)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)33% (5/15)
Service Points Won
56% (49/88)58% (44/76)
Return Points Won
42% (32/76)44% (39/88)
Total Points Won
49% (81/164)51% (83/164)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)62% (8/13)
Return Games Won
38% (5/13)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
50% (13/26)50% (13/26)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
46.8%
Mariano Navone
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.9)

    1.78
    (1.9)
    5.2%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone?
  • Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.15%97.75%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Baez is ranked ATP: 31. Navone is ranked ATP: 46.
    • Recent matches Baez is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Navone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone were as follows:
    25.02.2024 Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone 2:0
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)2 : 0
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.1 : 2
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.2 : 1
    10Miguel L. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)1 : 2
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.2 : 1
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)2 : 0
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1)Tirante T. A.0 : 1
    2Tabilo A.Passaro F.2 : 1
    3Fonseca J. (3)Buse I.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Lajovic D.2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (8)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Dzumhur D.Faria J.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    8Hanfmann Y.Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Tabilo A.1 : 2
    2Buse I.Berrettini M.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (8)Faria J.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M. (8)Kopriva V.2 : 1

    Final
    1Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)1 : 2