Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Rio de Janeiro Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone
Result
2:1
19/02/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
69%64%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (38/61)59% (29/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (11/27)56% (15/27)
Break Points Saved
67% (10/15)58% (7/12)
1st Return Points Won
41% (20/49)38% (23/61)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (12/27)59% (16/27)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)33% (5/15)
Service Points Won
56% (49/88)58% (44/76)
Return Points Won
42% (32/76)44% (39/88)
Total Points Won
49% (81/164)51% (83/164)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)62% (8/13)
Return Games Won
38% (5/13)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
50% (13/26)50% (13/26)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
46.8%
Mariano Navone
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.9)

    1.78
    (1.9)
    5.2%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone?
  • Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.15%97.75%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Baez is ranked ATP: 31. Navone is ranked ATP: 46.
    • Recent matches Baez is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Navone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone were as follows:
    25.02.2024 Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone 2:0
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bu Y.2 : 0
    2Shevchenko A.Meligeni Alves F. (WC)2 : 0
    3Heide G. (WC)Comesana F.1 : 2
    4Cerundolo J. M. (Q)Jarry N. (6)1 : 2
    5Cerundolo F. (4)Gaston H.2 : 0
    6Darderi L.Dellien H. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    7Fonseca J. (SE)Muller A.0 : 2
    8Moutet C.Etcheverry T. M. (8)0 : 2
    9Baez S. (5)Burruchaga R. A. (LL)2 : 0
    10Navone M.Carballes Baena R.2 : 0
    11Diaz Acosta F.Monteiro T. (WC)1 : 2
    12Tseng C. H. (Q)Tabilo A. (3)2 : 0
    13Martinez P. (7)Ugo Carabelli C. (LL)1 : 2
    14Lajovic D.Dzumhur D.0 : 2
    15Munar J.Seyboth Wild T.2 : 1
    16Barrios Vera T. (Q)Faria J. (LL)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    2Comesana F.Jarry N. (6)2 : 1
    3Cerundolo F. (4)Darderi L.2 : 1
    4Muller A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)2 : 0
    5Baez S. (5)Navone M.2 : 1
    6Monteiro T.Tseng C. H.1 : 2
    7Ugo Carabelli C.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    8Munar J.Faria J.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Comesana F.1 : 2
    2Cerundolo F. (4)Muller A.0 : 2
    3Baez S. (5)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ugo Carabelli C.Faria J.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Comesana F.Muller A.1 : 2
    2Baez S. (5)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 1

    Final
    1Muller A.Baez S. (5)0 : 2