Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Winston-Salem Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta
Result
2:0
19/08/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
71%65%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (40/60)54% (20/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (9/24)40% (8/20)
Break Points Saved
83% (10/12)29% (2/7)
1st Return Points Won
46% (17/37)33% (20/60)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (12/20)63% (15/24)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)17% (2/12)
Winners
2916
Unforced Errors
3133
Net Points Won
69% (11/16)50% (12/24)
Service Points Won
58% (49/84)49% (28/57)
Return Points Won
51% (29/57)42% (35/84)
Total Points Won
55% (78/141)45% (63/141)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
35.1%
Pablo Carreno-Busta
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 58.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Carreno-Busta's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.2)

    1.47
    (1.61)
    5.1%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Baez is ranked ATP: 40. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 113.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Carreno Busta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Carreno Busta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
    25.10.2022 Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta 0:2
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Tsitsipas S. (1)Bye
    2Bu Y.Tseng C. H.2 : 1
    3Navone M.Suresh D. (Q)2 : 0
    4ByeGiron M. (16)
    5Baez S. (10)Bye
    6Nishioka Y.Carreno-Busta P.0 : 2
    7Van De Zandschulp B.Walton A.2 : 1
    8ByeArnaldi M. (6)
    9Diallo G. (4)Bye
    10Collignon R.Basavareddy N. (Q)0 : 2
    11Medjedovic H.Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    12ByeFearnley J. (15)
    13Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)Bye
    14Goffin D.Martinez P.0 : 2
    15Coric B.Blanch Dar. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeMuller A. (8)
    17Borges N. (7)Bye
    18Majchrzak K.Jarry N.2 : 0
    19Ofner S. (PR)Kopriva V.1 : 2
    20ByeKorda S. (11)
    21Kecmanovic M. (13)Bye
    22Kovacevic A.Misolic F.2 : 0
    23McDonald M.Holt B. (WC)2 : 1
    24ByeDarderi L. (3)
    25Sonego L. (5)Bye
    26Dostanic S. (WC)Vukic A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Comesana F.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    28ByeMunar J. (12)
    29Bautista-Agut R. (14)Bye
    30Safiullin R.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    31Gaston H.Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    32ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Tsitsipas S. (1)Bu Y.0 : 2
    2Navone M.Giron M. (16)2 : 0
    3Baez S. (10)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    4Van De Zandschulp B.Arnaldi M. (6)2 : 0
    5Diallo G. (WO.) (4)Basavareddy N.
    6Medjedovic H.Fearnley J. (15)2 : 0
    7Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)Martinez P.2 : 1
    8Blanch Dar.Muller A. (8)1 : 2
    9Borges N. (7)Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    10Kopriva V.Korda S. (11)0 : 2
    11Kecmanovic M. (13)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    12McDonald M.Darderi L. (3)1 : 2
    13Sonego L. (5)Dostanic S.2 : 1
    14Bellucci M.Munar J. (12)0 : 2
    15Bautista-Agut R. (14)O'Connell C. (RET.)1 : 0
    16Fucsovics M.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Bu Y.Navone M.2 : 0
    2Baez S. (10)Van De Zandschulp B.1 : 2
    3Diallo G. (4)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)Muller A. (8)2 : 0
    5Majchrzak K.Korda S. (11)1 : 2
    6Kecmanovic M. (13)Darderi L. (3)2 : 0
    7Sonego L. (5)Munar J. (12)1 : 2
    8Bautista-Agut R. (14)Fucsovics M.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bu Y.Van De Zandschulp B.1 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)0 : 2
    3Korda S. (11)Kecmanovic M. (13)2 : 0
    4Munar J. (12)Fucsovics M.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Van De Zandschulp B.Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)2 : 0
    2Korda S. (11)Fucsovics M. (WO.)

    Final
    1Van De Zandschulp B.Fucsovics M.0 : 2