Sebastian Baez vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
31/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
70%73%
1st serve points won
69% (35/51)52% (15/29)
2nd serve points won
50% (11/22)55% (6/11)
Break Points Saved
5/51/4
1st return points won
55% (16/29)39% (20/51)
2nd return points won
45% (5/11)50% (11/22)
Break Points Converted
3/40/5
Winners
1712
Unforced errors
819
Net points won
86% (6/7)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
63% (41/65)55% (17/31)
Return Points Won
45% (14/31)37% (24/65)
Total Points Won
57% (55/96)43% (41/96)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
04
Service games won
100% (8/8)57% (4/7)
Return games won
43% (3/7)0% (0/8)
Total games won
73% (11/15)27% (4/15)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
77.8%
Vilius Gaubas
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Baez's performance.
  • Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilius Gaubas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Baez that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sebastian Baez - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.33)

    4.25
    (3.27)
    5.7%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Vilius Gaubas?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Baez (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Baez will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Baez (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Baez is ranked ATP: 52. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 105.
    • Baez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gaubas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Baez is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Vilius Gaubas were as follows:
    17.09.2023 Sebastian Baez - Vilius Gaubas Canceled
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Diallo G. (1)Bye
    2Molcan A. (Q)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    3Boitan G. A. (WC)Moller E.0 : 2
    4O'Connell C. (Alt)Navone M. (7)0 : 2
    5Borges N. (4)Bye
    6Dzumhur D.Jianu F. C. (WC)2 : 1
    7Shevchenko A.Turcanu R. D. (WC)2 : 0
    8Maestrelli F.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    9Altmaier D. (6)Martinez P.2 : 0
    10Basilashvili N. (Q)Prizmic D.0 : 2
    11Sakellaridis S. (Q)Choinski J.2 : 0
    12ByeMarozsan F. (3)
    13Baez S. (5)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    14Bautista-Agut R.Droguet T.1 : 2
    15Virtanen O. (Alt)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    16ByeMannarino A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Diallo G. (1)Molcan A.0 : 2
    2Moller E.Navone M. (7)0 : 2
    3Borges N. (4)Dzumhur D.0 : 2
    4Shevchenko A.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    5Altmaier D. (6)Prizmic D.2 : 1
    6Sakellaridis S.Marozsan F. (3)0 : 2
    7Baez S. (5)Droguet T.0 : 2
    8Merida Aguilar D.Mannarino A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Molcan A.Navone M. (7)1 : 2
    2Dzumhur D.Van De Zandschulp B. (8)0 : 2
    3Altmaier D. (6)Marozsan F. (3)0 : 2
    4Droguet T. (RET.)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Navone M. (7)Van De Zandschulp B. (8)2 : 1
    2Marozsan F. (3)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 2

    Final
    1Navone M. (7)Merida Aguilar D.2 : 1