Sebastian Korda vs Ugo Humbert – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Basel Sebastian Korda - Ugo Humbert
Result
0:2
22/10/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
56
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
67%78%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (22/33)81% (34/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (8/16)58% (7/12)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
19% (8/42)36% (12/33)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (5/12)50% (8/16)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)38% (3/8)
Winners
1218
Unforced Errors
114
Net Points Won
60% (6/10)64% (7/11)
Service Points Won
60% (29/48)76% (41/54)
Return Points Won
24% (13/54)40% (19/48)
Total Points Won
41% (42/102)59% (60/102)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Korda
54.8%
Ugo Humbert
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Korda's performance.
  • Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Humbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Korda that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Humbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sebastian Korda - Ugo Humbert Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (2.1)

    2.11
    (1.73)
    4.8%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Korda - Ugo Humbert?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Humbert will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 30.1%75.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Korda will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Korda is ranked ATP: 60. Humbert is ranked ATP: 25.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Korda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Korda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Sebastian Korda
    Latest results of Ugo Humbert
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Vacherot V. (WC)2 : 1
    2Korda S.Humbert U.0 : 2
    3Baez S.Opelka R. (Q)0 : 2
    4Van De Zandschulp B. (LL)Lehecka J. (6)2 : 0
    5Ruud C. (4)Halys Q. (LL)2 : 0
    6Kecmanovic M.Wawrinka S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Brooksby J. (PR)Muller A.2 : 0
    8Sonego L.Davidovich Fokina A. (8)0 : 2
    9Mensik J. (7)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 1
    10Mpetshi Perricard G.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    11Collignon R. (SE)Royer V. (LL)0 : 2
    12Giron M.Shapovalov D. (9)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (5)Diallo G.2 : 0
    14Goffin D. (LL)Cilic M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Bertola R. (Q)Munar J.0 : 2
    16Majchrzak K. (Q)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Humbert U.0 : 2
    2Opelka R.Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    3Ruud C. (4)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Brooksby J.Davidovich Fokina A. (8)1 : 2
    5Mensik J. (7)Fonseca J. (WO.)
    6Royer V.Shapovalov D. (9)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (5)Cilic M.2 : 0
    8Munar J.Shelton B. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Humbert U.Opelka R.2 : 0
    2Ruud C. (RET.) (4)Davidovich Fokina A. (8)0 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Shapovalov D. (RET.) (9)1 : 1
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (RET.) (5)Munar J.0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Humbert U. (RET.)Davidovich Fokina A. (8)0 : 1
    2Fonseca J.Munar J.2 : 0

    Final
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (8)Fonseca J.0 : 2