Result
1:2
16/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 52% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (35/55) | 72% (26/36) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 58% (19/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 40% (2/5) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 28% (10/36) | 36% (20/55) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 42% (14/33) | 55% (17/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 63% (5/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 46 | 19 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 75% (3/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (49/85) | 65% (44/68) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (24/68) | 42% (36/85) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (73/153) | 52% (80/153) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 77% (10/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 36% (5/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 56% (15/27) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Ofner
36.9% | Hugo Gaston
63.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Ofner's form might have worsened.Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Gaston's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-15.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sebastian Ofner - Hugo Gaston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(1.83) |
|
1.48 ↓
(1.83) |
7.3%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Ofner - Hugo Gaston?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ofner (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gaston (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Hugo Gaston will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Ofner is ranked ATP: 135. Gaston is ranked ATP: 99.
- Ofner is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Gaston has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ofner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ofner won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Ofner won against Hugo Gaston?
Sebastian Ofner has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hugo Gaston won against Sebastian Ofner?
Hugo Gaston has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Ofner - Hugo Gaston were as follows:
23.04.2025
Sebastian Ofner
-
Hugo Gaston
2:0
12.05.2023
Sebastian Ofner
-
Hugo Gaston
2:1
Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
Latest results of Hugo Gaston
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Misolic F. (RET.) (1) | Landaluce M. | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Kym J. | Harris L. (SE) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Skatov T. | Hemery C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sachko V. | Droguet T. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Blockx A. (4) | Safiullin R. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Bouquier A. (WC) | Coppejans K. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Massard L. (Q) | Engel J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Glinka D. (Alt) | Bonzi B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Goffin D. (5) | Schwaerzler J. J. (NG) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Kouame M. (WC) | Dodig M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Basavareddy N. (Q) | Blanchet U. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Ofner S. | Gaston H. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | van Assche L. (7) | Riedi L. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Kukushkin M. (Q) | Zeppieri G. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Holmgren A. | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Chidekh C. | Fearnley J. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Landaluce M. | Kym J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Skatov T. | Droguet T. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Blockx A. (4) | Bouquier A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Engel J. | Bonzi B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Kouame M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Basavareddy N. | Gaston H. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | van Assche L. (7) | Kukushkin M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | Chidekh C. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kym J. | Droguet T. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blockx A. (4) | Bonzi B. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Kouame M. | Basavareddy N. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | van Assche L. (7) | Chidekh C. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Kym J. | Blockx A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Kouame M. | van Assche L. (7) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Blockx A. (4) | van Assche L. (7) | 0 : 2 |
