Sebastian Ofner vs Marco Cecchinato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
27/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
55
1st serve percentage
60%57%
1st serve points won
78% (38/49)61% (34/56)
2nd serve points won
45% (15/33)56% (24/43)
Break Points Saved
4/67/10
1st return points won
39% (22/56)22% (11/49)
2nd return points won
44% (19/43)55% (18/33)
Break Points Converted
3/102/6
Service Points Won
65% (53/82)59% (58/98)
Return Points Won
41% (40/98)35% (29/82)
Total Points Won
52% (93/180)48% (87/180)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
83% (10/12)75% (9/12)
Return games won
25% (3/12)17% (2/12)
Total games won
54% (13/24)46% (11/24)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Ofner
66.3%
Marco Cecchinato
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Ofner's performance.
  • Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marco Cecchinato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Ofner that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marco Cecchinato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sebastian Ofner - Marco Cecchinato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.53)

    2.77
    (2.37)
    7.2%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Ofner - Marco Cecchinato?
  • Users Predictions: Sebastian Ofner will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Ofner will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ofner is ranked ATP: 86. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 199.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Ofner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ofner is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ofner won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    Latest results of Marco Cecchinato
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Skatov T.2 : 0
    2Kolar Z.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    3Gakhov I. (RET.)Harris L.0 : 1
    4Cecchinato M.Lajovic D. (8)2 : 0
    5Martinez P. (4)Sanchez Jover C. (WC)2 : 0
    6Bertola R.Hassan B. (LL)2 : 0
    7Sanchez Quilez A. (Q)Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)2 : 0
    8Gulin S. (Q)Carreno-Busta P. (5)0 : 2
    9Choinski J. (7)Pereira T. (Q)2 : 0
    10Safiullin R.Bailly G. A.2 : 0
    11Merida Aguilar D.Houkes M.1 : 2
    12Shelbayh A. (LL)Gaubas V. (3)1 : 2
    13Ivashka I. (Q)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    14Blanch D. (Q)Engel J.2 : 0
    15Butvilas E.Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    16Pieri S. (Q)De Jong J. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    2Harris L.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    3Martinez P. (4)Bertola R.2 : 1
    4Sanchez Quilez A.Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    5Choinski J. (7)Safiullin R.0 : 2
    6Houkes M.Gaubas V. (3)2 : 1
    7Llamas Ruiz P.Blanch D.2 : 0
    8Butvilas E.De Jong J. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Martinez P. (4)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    3Safiullin R.Houkes M.2 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P.Butvilas E.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    2Safiullin R.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2

    Final
    1Carreno-Busta P. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2