Sebastian Ofner vs Matteo Martineau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
27/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
68
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
55%70%
1st serve points won
90% (19/21)60% (34/57)
2nd serve points won
76% (13/17)33% (8/24)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)71% (10/14)
1st return points won
40% (23/57)14% (3/21)
2nd return points won
67% (16/24)24% (4/17)
Break Points Converted
29% (4/14)0% (0/0)
Winners
2616
Unforced errors
1524
Net points won
20% (1/5)33% (2/6)
Service Points Won
84% (32/38)52% (42/81)
Return Points Won
48% (39/81)16% (6/38)
Total Points Won
60% (71/119)40% (48/119)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (8/8)56% (5/9)
Return games won
44% (4/9)0% (0/8)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Ofner
60.5%
Matteo Martineau
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.4% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Ofner's form might have worsened.
  • Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Martineau's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sebastian Ofner - Matteo Martineau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.36)

    2.4
    (2.95)
    6.5%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Ofner - Matteo Martineau?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Martineau will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ofner (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Martineau (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5 Games - Martineau (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Ofner (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ofner (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Martineau (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ofner is ranked ATP: 132. Martineau is ranked ATP: 350.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ofner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ofner is a strong favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
    Latest results of Matteo Martineau
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    2Lokoli L. (Q)Paul J. (LL)2 : 1
    3Tabur C.Rincon D.2 : 0
    4Chidekh C.Safiullin R. (8)2 : 0
    5Ofner S. (4)Broom C.2 : 1
    6Smith K. (Q)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    7Martineau M. (WC)Ghibaudo A. (Q)2 : 1
    8Zahraj P.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    9Lajal M. (5)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    10Perot R. (WC)Herbert P.0 : 2
    11Gombos N. (Alt)Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    12Kouame M. (WC)Droguet T. (3)0 : 2
    13Blanchet U. (6)Broska F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Bertrand R.Gadamauri B. (Q)0 : 2
    15Kukushkin M.Loffhagen G. (RET.)0 : 0
    16Gueymard Wayenburg S.Gaston H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bouquier A.Lokoli L.1 : 2
    2Tabur C.Chidekh C.0 : 2
    3Ofner S. (4)Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    4Martineau M.Rodionov J. (7)2 : 0
    5Lajal M. (5)Herbert P.0 : 2
    6Poullain L.Droguet T. (3)1 : 2
    7Blanchet U. (6)Gadamauri B.2 : 0
    8Kukushkin M.Gaston H. (WO.) (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Lokoli L.Chidekh C.1 : 2
    2Ofner S. (4)Martineau M.2 : 0
    3Herbert P.Droguet T. (3)2 : 1
    4Blanchet U. (6)Gaston H. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Chidekh C.Ofner S. (4)1 : 2
    2Herbert P.Gaston H. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Ofner S. (4)Herbert P.2 : 0