Result
2:0
05/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 71% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 91% (31/34) | 67% (29/43) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 44% (12/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 63% (5/8) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 33% (14/43) | 12% (4/34) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 36% (5/14) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 0% (0/0) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 100% (3/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 83% (40/48) | 58% (40/69) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (29/69) | 17% (8/48) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (69/117) | 41% (48/117) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 0% (0/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 35% (7/20) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Ofner
58.1% | Murphy Cassone
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Sebastian Ofner - Murphy Cassone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.5) |
|
2.26 ↓
(2.38) |
6.9%
(8.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Ofner - Murphy Cassone?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%). Cassone will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 82.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Ofner will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ofner is ranked ATP: 108. Cassone is ranked ATP: 275.
- Ofner is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Cassone has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cassone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ofner might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Ofner will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Ofner won against Murphy Cassone?
Sebastian Ofner has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Murphy Cassone won against Sebastian Ofner?
Murphy Cassone has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Ofner - Murphy Cassone were as follows:
Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
Latest results of Murphy Cassone
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Glinka D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Smith K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sels J. (LL) | Kouame M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Engel J. | Zeppieri G. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Loffhagen G. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Cassone M. (Q) | Broom C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rodionov J. | Grenier H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Added D. (Alt) | Krumich M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Blanchet U. (8) | Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 10 | Bertola R. (Alt) | Chidekh C. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Herbert P. | Bailly G. A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Paris T. (WC) | Virtanen O. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Molcan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tabur C. (Alt) | Nishikori K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Safiullin R. | Skatov T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Malige M. (WC) | Choinski J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Smith K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kouame M. | Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Cassone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rodionov J. | Krumich M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Blanchet U. (8) | Chidekh C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Herbert P. | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Nishikori K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Safiullin R. | Choinski J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Kouame M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Rodionov J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Blanchet U. (8) | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Choinski J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Ofner S. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Virtanen O. (3) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Ofner S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 2 : 1 |
